Crimson Tide host Panthers in Week 6 action
|Georgia State Panthers||Alabama Crimson Tide|
No. 1 Alabama, after disposing of Ole Miss, steps back out of SEC play for a Homecoming game with 0-4 Georgia State Saturday afternoon in Tuscaloosa (12:20 pm ET, ESPN3).
As of early this week the Tide, who are 1-5 ATS the last six times they've been favored by 30 points or more, were favored by 55 points over the Panthers.
They battle the Panthers, currently with a 0-4 mark (2-1-1 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 2-2 for the Crimson Tide and 3-1 for the Panthers.
This game matches up the No. 3 (Crimson Tide) and the No. 125 (Panthers) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 43-6 result in favor of the Crimson Tide is predicted by handicapping models.
Georgia State lost its last outing, a 32-26 result against Jacksonville State on September 21. Georgia State covered in that game as a 10.5-point underdog, while the 58 combined points took the game OVER the total. Last time we saw the Rebels, they had no answer for T.J. Yeldon as the Crimson Tide rolled to a 25-0 victory at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Alabama's No. 42-ranked offense (35 PPG) against a Panthers defense that ranks No. 108 at 36.5 PPG. The Crimson Tide passing attack has averaged 224 yards per game, less than the Panthers give up through the air (249.75 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Panthers feature the league's No. 48-rated road run defense, allowing 158.5 yards per game. Alabama, meanwhile, ranks No. 89 in rushing offense at home.
A few Panthers at Crimson Tide trends to consider:
Georgia State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama's last 7 games
Alabama is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Alabama is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Georgia State at Troy, Saturday, October 12th
Alabama at Kentucky, Saturday, October 12th