Crimson Tide visit Kentucky in Week 7 battle
|Alabama Crimson Tide||Kentucky Wildcats|
No. 1 Alabama beat up on another inferior opponent last week, but once again couldn't – or declined to – cover a big spread.
The Tide are now 1-6 ATS the last seven times they've been favored by 30 points or more. 'Bama isn't favored by that much this week, but it's close, heading into its game in Lexington Saturday evening against 1-4 Kentucky (7 pm ET, ESPN2).
Alabama, which has allowed a total of nine points over its last three games, was an early 27-point favorite over the Wildcats, who just picked up a back-door cover as 21-point dogs against South Carolina.
The Crimson Tide will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 2-3 ATS against the number this season, while the Wildcats are 2-3 ATS. Alabama is 2-3 on the totals; Kentucky is 2-3.
The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 3-rated Crimson Tide taking on the No. 105-rated Wildcats in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 46-20 win for the Crimson Tide on Saturday.
The Wildcats suffered a Week 6 loss against South Carolina in their last game, falling 35-28 at Williams-Brice Stadium.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Kentucky's No. 98-ranked offense, averaging 23 PPG, against a Crimson Tide defense that ranks No. 4 this week at 12.2 PPG. The Wildcats aerial game is averaging 226.6 yards per game, more than the Crimson Tide secondary allows through the air, 214 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Crimson Tide own the league's No. 83-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 197 yards per game when on the road. Kentucky, on the other hand, rates No. 87 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Crimson Tide at Wildcats trends to consider:
Kentucky is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
Kentucky is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kentucky's last 6 games
Alabama at Arkansas, Saturday, October 19th
Kentucky at Mississippi State, Thursday, October 24th