Falcons home to Lobos in NCAAF betting action
New Mexico Lobos vs Air Force Falcons Odds
The visiting Lobos hope to send their backers to the pay window on Saturday as they look to cover the spread at Falcon Stadium against the Falcons.
This season the Falcons are 3-3 overall and 2-4 ATS against the number, while the Lobos are 4-3 and 4-2 ATS. As for the totals, Air Force is 2-3 on the OU, and New Mexico is 2-4.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Falcons - Lobos odds would favor the Lobos if the lines were set according to power ranks. Air Force is rated No. 114 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Lobos sit at No. 65. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 35-31 win for the Falcons.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Air Force's No. 39-ranked offense (33.3 PPG) against a Lobos defense that ranks No. 81 at 28.3 PPG. The Falcons passing attack has averaged 116.8 yards per game, less than the Lobos give up through the air (279.9 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Lobos own the league's No. 67-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 167 yards per game when on the road. Air Force, on the other hand, rates No. 1 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
New Mexico was a 35-23 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Hawaii. They covered the 1.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (58) made winners of OVER bettors. Hawaii was unable to contain Kasey Carrier in its last action Saturday and the result was a 35-23 Week 7 loss against the Lobos.
In their last action, Air Force was a 28-27 winner on the road against Wyoming. They failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (55) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In their last game, the Falcons were Week 7 winners, coming out on top of the Cowboys by a score of 28-27.
New Mexico Lobos Trends:
When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on turf are 1-9
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the conference are 2-8
Air Force Falcons Trends:
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 5-5
A few Lobos at Falcons trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Mexico's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico's last 6 games
New Mexico is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games
New Mexico is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Air Force
Air Force is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Mexico
Air Force is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing New Mexico
Air Force is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home
Air Force is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New Mexico home to Fresno State, Saturday, October 27
Air Force home to Nevada, Saturday, October 27