Falcons visit Lobos in Week 9 NCAAF clash
Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos Odds
New Mexico will look to improve on its 0-7 record this week when they host Air Force in Week 9 action at University Stadium on Saturday.
The Lobos sport records of 0-7 and 2-5 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Falcons sit at 3-4 and 2-5 ATS on the season. The over under records are 4-2-1 for the Lobos and 7-0 for the Falcons.
Betting Line: The Lobos were listed as 30.5-point underdogs at sportsbooks on the opening college football line.
Power Rankings / Prediction: According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 112-rated Lobos and the No. 76-rated Falcons in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 32-1 win for the Falcons on Saturday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New Mexico's No. 117-ranked offense (15.1 PPG) against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 113 at 35.7 PPG. The Lobos passing attack has averaged 202.6 yards per game, less than the Falcons give up through the air (216 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Falcons feature the league's No. 111-rated road run defense, allowing 247.3 yards per game. New Mexico, meanwhile, ranks No. 94 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for Air Force, they were a 37-26 loser as they battled Boise State on the road. Air Force covered in the match as a 30-point underdog, while 63 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors.
In their last action, New Mexico was a 69-0 loser on the road against TCU. They failed to cover the 44.5–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (69) was profitable news for OVER bettors.
Air Force Falcons Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 4-6
New Mexico Lobos Trends:
When playing in October are 0-10
When playing on grass are 1-9
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing within the conference are 1-9
A few Falcons at Lobos trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games
Air Force is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Air Force's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 7 games when playing New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 7 games when playing Air Force
New Mexico is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Air Force
Air Force home to Army, Saturday, November 5
New Mexico at San Diego State, Saturday, November 5