Fiesta Bowl betting preview
In a meeting of two teams who must be thinking about what could have been 11-1 Kansas State battles 11-1 Oregon in the Fiesta Bowl Thursday, Jan. 3 in Glendale (8:30 pm ET, ESPN).
The early Fiesta Bowl betting odds showed the Ducks, who missed out on playing in the Pac-12 championship game because of an overtime loss to Stanford, as eight-point favorites over the Big 12-champion Wildcats, whose only loss came at Baylor.
Underdogs are 5-1 ATS in the past 6 Fiesta Bowls, while Kansas State is a bankroll-bleeding 1-6 ATS in its past 7 bowl games. [ More Fiesta Bowl betting stats, matchup trends and more, click here ]
Betting Line: Bettors looking to back the visiting Wildcats in this one found them as 8-point underdogs on the opening college football point spread at TopBet. The total was a sky-high 75.5 in early wagering at Bovada.
Oregon Bowl History
|1997||Las Vegas Bowl||Oregon||41||Air Force||13||3||OREG|
|2002||Seattle Bowl||Wake Forest||38||Oregon||38||-8.5||WAKE|
|2006||Las Vegas Bowl||BYU||38||Oregon||8||3.5||BYU|
|2007||Sun Bowl||Oregon||56||South Florida||21||-5.5||OREG|
|2008||Holiday Bowl||Oregon||42||Oklahoma State||31||1||OREG|
|2009||Rose Bowl||Ohio State||26||Oregon||17||-4.5||OHIOST|
|2010||BCS Championship Game||Oregon||19||Auburn||22||1||AUBRN|
Kansas State Bowl History
|1995||Holiday Bowl||Colorado State||21||Kansas State||54||-8||KAN.ST|
|1996||Cotton Bowl||Kansas State||15||BYU||19||3||BYU|
|1997||Fiesta Bowl||Syracuse||18||Kansas State||35||-4||KAN.ST|
|1998||Alamo Bowl||Kansas State||34||Purdue||37||-14||KAN.ST|
|1999||Holiday Bowl||Washington||20||Kansas State||24||11||KAN.ST|
|2000||Cotton Bowl||Tennessee||21||Kansas State||35||-3.5||KAN.ST|
|2001||Insight Bowl||Syracuse||26||Kansas State||3||-6||SYRACU|
|2002||Holiday Bowl||Kansas State||34||Arizona State||27||17.5||ARIZST|
|2003||Fiesta Bowl||Kansas State||28||Ohio State||35||6.5||OHIOST|
|2006||Texas Bowl||Kansas State||10||Rutgers||37||-9||RUTGER|
|2010||Pinstripe Bowl||Kansas State||34||Syracuse||36||0||SYRACU|
|2011||Cotton Bowl||Kansas State||16||Arkansas||29||-9.5||ARK|
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Oregon's No. 2-ranked offense (50.8 PPG) against a Wildcats defense that ranks No. 24 at 21.1 PPG. The Ducks passing attack has averaged 226.8 yards per game, less than the Wildcats give up through the air (255.8 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Wildcats own the league's No. 32-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 135.6 yards per game when on the road. Oregon, on the other hand, rates No. 5 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Kansas State was a 42-24 winner in their most recent outing at home against Texas. They covered the 10.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (66) made winners of OVER bettors. Collin Klein ran through the Texas defense for 103 yards in Kansas State's last game, handing the Longhorns a 42-24 setback on Saturday at Snyder Family Stadium.
Last time out for Oregon, they were a 48-24 winner as they battled Oregon State on the road. Oregon covered in the match as a 11.5-point favorite, while 72 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Kenjon Barner ran through the Oregon State defense for 198 yards in Oregon's last game, handing the Beavers a 48-24 setback on Saturday at Reser Stadium.
Kansas State Wildcats Trends:
When playing in January are 1-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 7-3
When an underdog on the road are 5-5
Oregon Ducks Trends:
When playing in January are 2-3
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When favored at home are 8-2
A few Wildcats at Ducks trends to consider:
Kansas State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State's last 5 games
Oregon is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games