Fiesta Bowl betting preview

In a meeting of two teams who must be thinking about what could have been 11-1 Kansas State battles 11-1 Oregon in the Fiesta Bowl Thursday, Jan. 3 in Glendale (8:30 pm ET, ESPN).

The early Fiesta Bowl betting odds showed the Ducks, who missed out on playing in the Pac-12 championship game because of an overtime loss to Stanford, as eight-point favorites over the Big 12-champion Wildcats, whose only loss came at Baylor.

Underdogs are 5-1 ATS in the past 6 Fiesta Bowls, while Kansas State is a bankroll-bleeding 1-6 ATS in its past 7 bowl games. [ More Fiesta Bowl betting stats, matchup trends and more, click here ]

View Kansas State vs Oregon Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Bettors looking to back the visiting Wildcats in this one found them as 8-point underdogs on the opening college football point spread at TopBet. The total was a sky-high 75.5 in early wagering at Bovada.


Oregon Bowl History

Year Bowl Team1 Score Team2 Score Team2Line ATS win
1995 Cotton Bowl Oregon 6 Colorado 38 -7 COLO
1997 Las Vegas Bowl Oregon 41 Air Force 13 3 OREG
1998 Aloha Bowl Colorado 51 Oregon 43 -4.5 COLO
1999 Sun Bowl Minnesota 20 Oregon 24 2 OREG
2000 Holiday Bowl Texas 30 Oregon 35 7 OREG
2001 Fiesta Bowl Oregon 38 Colorado 16 -3 OREG
2002 Seattle Bowl Wake Forest 38 Oregon 38 -8.5 WAKE
2003 Sun Bowl Oregon 30 Minnesota 31 -5.5 OREG
2005 Holiday Bowl Oklahoma 17 Oregon 14 -3 OKLA
2006 Las Vegas Bowl BYU 38 Oregon 8 3.5 BYU
2007 Sun Bowl Oregon 56 South Florida 21 -5.5 OREG
2008 Holiday Bowl Oregon 42 Oklahoma State 31 1 OREG
2009 Rose Bowl Ohio State 26 Oregon 17 -4.5 OHIOST
2010 BCS Championship Game Oregon 19 Auburn 22 1 AUBRN
2011 Rose Bowl Wisconsin 38 Oregon 45 -4.5 OREG

Kansas State Bowl History

Year Bowl Team1 Score Team2 Score Team2Line ATS win
1995 Holiday Bowl Colorado State 21 Kansas State 54 -8 KAN.ST
1996 Cotton Bowl Kansas State 15 BYU 19 3 BYU
1997 Fiesta Bowl Syracuse 18 Kansas State 35 -4 KAN.ST
1998 Alamo Bowl Kansas State 34 Purdue 37 -14 KAN.ST
1999 Holiday Bowl Washington 20 Kansas State 24 11 KAN.ST
2000 Cotton Bowl Tennessee 21 Kansas State 35 -3.5 KAN.ST
2001 Insight Bowl Syracuse 26 Kansas State 3 -6 SYRACU
2002 Holiday Bowl Kansas State 34 Arizona State 27 17.5 ARIZST
2003 Fiesta Bowl Kansas State 28 Ohio State 35 6.5 OHIOST
2006 Texas Bowl Kansas State 10 Rutgers 37 -9 RUTGER
2010 Pinstripe Bowl Kansas State 34 Syracuse 36 0 SYRACU
2011 Cotton Bowl Kansas State 16 Arkansas 29 -9.5 ARK

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Oregon's No. 2-ranked offense (50.8 PPG) against a Wildcats defense that ranks No. 24 at 21.1 PPG. The Ducks passing attack has averaged 226.8 yards per game, less than the Wildcats give up through the air (255.8 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Wildcats own the league's No. 32-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 135.6 yards per game when on the road. Oregon, on the other hand, rates No. 5 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Kansas State was a 42-24 winner in their most recent outing at home against Texas. They covered the 10.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (66) made winners of OVER bettors. Collin Klein ran through the Texas defense for 103 yards in Kansas State's last game, handing the Longhorns a 42-24 setback on Saturday at Snyder Family Stadium.

Last time out for Oregon, they were a 48-24 winner as they battled Oregon State on the road. Oregon covered in the match as a 11.5-point favorite, while 72 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Kenjon Barner ran through the Oregon State defense for 198 yards in Oregon's last game, handing the Beavers a 48-24 setback on Saturday at Reser Stadium.

Kansas State Wildcats Trends:
When playing in January are 1-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 7-3
When an underdog on the road are 5-5

Oregon Ducks Trends:
When playing in January are 2-3
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When favored at home are 8-2

A few Wildcats at Ducks trends to consider:
Kansas State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State's last 5 games
Oregon is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games