Illinois Fighting Illini vs Wisconsin Badgers Odds
The visiting Fighting Illini hope to send their backers to the pay window on Saturday as they look to cover the spread at Camp Randall Stadium against the Badgers.
The Fighting Illini will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 2-3 ATS against the number this season, while the Badgers are 1-4 ATS. Illinois is 3-1 on the totals; Wisconsin is 2-2.
Betting Line: Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook.ag had set the Badgers as 11.5-point favorites on the opening line for this contest.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Badgers at No. 95 and the Fighting Illini at No. 63 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 26-18 result in favor of the Badgers.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Wisconsin's No. 99-ranked offense (22.6 PPG) against a Fighting Illini defense that ranks No. 78 at 27.8 PPG. The Badgers passing attack has averaged 183.6 yards per game, less than the Fighting Illini give up through the air (221.4 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Fighting Illini feature the league's No. 75-rated road run defense, allowing 192 yards per game. Wisconsin, meanwhile, ranks No. 60 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, Illinois was a 35-7 loser at home against Penn State. They failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (42) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Ryan Lankford hauled in 7 passes for 104 yards against the Penn State defense in the team's last game, but the result was a 35-7 loss against the Nittany Lions on Saturday.
Last time out for Wisconsin, they were a 30-27 loser as they battled Nebraska on the road. Wisconsin covered in the match as a 12-point underdog, while 57 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Jared Abbrederis hauled in 7 passes for 142 yards against the Nebraska defense in the team's last game, but the result was a 30-27 loss against the Cornhuskers on Saturday.
Illinois Fighting Illini Trends:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 3-7
Wisconsin Badgers Trends:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 7-3
A few Fighting Illini at Badgers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Illinois's last 9 games when playing Wisconsin
Illinois is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wisconsin is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Illinois
Wisconsin is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Illinois
Wisconsin is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
Illinois at Michigan, Saturday, October 13
Wisconsin at Purdue, Saturday, October 13