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South Florida seeks another September cover

South Florida Bulls

The South Florida Bulls are 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games played in the month of September. The Bulls will try to pick up another September cover for their backers as an underdog at home this Saturday against the Florida State Seminoles.

SHARK BITES
  • Florida State is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games against teams with winning records.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of South Florida's last 11 games after losing the previous game in a matchup.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida State's last 7 games on the road.

South Florida has successfully covered the spread in each of its last three games against the Seminoles. The Bulls have jumped out to a 3-0 SU and ATS start to the season and are 10-2 SU and ATS over their last 12 games overall. The offense has averaged 41.9 points per game over the team's last seven games.

Florida State's defense was totally shredded in a 63-20 road loss to the Louisville Cardinals last week. While Louisville's Lamar Jackson certainly deserves his share of the credit, Florida State's defense is suddenly looking like a serious liability, having surrendered 45 points per game in its last three games against FBS opponents.

The Seminoles are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on the road coming off of a loss on the road in their previous game.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Florida State Seminoles were listed as -5.5-point favorites on the opening NCAA football line at BetOnline and most sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark. No total was available early in the week, check out the odds pages here or Bovada for updates.

Odds Shark computer score prediction models pick a possible 38-29 win for the Bulls on Saturday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Florida State Seminoles vs USF Bulls Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The USF Bulls are 3-0 so far on the season, and 3-0 ATS vs the point spread. The Florida State Seminoles, meanwhile, are 2-1 and 1-2 ATS. Those over under betting have seen USF go 2-1 and the Florida State Seminoles go 2-0 on the totals. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and USF vs Florida State injuries news.

It's a betting matchup between the No. 13-rated USF Bulls and the No. 51-ranked Florida State Seminoles, according to the NCAA College Football Power Rankings here at Odds Shark.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits USF's No. 7-ranked offense, averaging 49.67 PPG, against a Florida State defense that ranks No. 107 this week at 35 PPG. The USF aerial game is averaging 270 yards per game, more than the Florida State Seminoles secondary allows through the air, 223.67 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Florida State Seminoles feature the league's No. 98-rated road run defense, allowing 314 yards per game. USF, meanwhile, ranks No. 31 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Florida State didn't make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Cardinals as Louisville blasted them 63-20 in Week 3 action.

Marlon Mack went over the 100-yard mark (115) in his team's latest effort as USF defeated Syracuse by a score of 45-20 on Saturday.

Betting Trends
  • Florida State is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Florida State is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
  • Florida State is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 6 games on the road
  • South Florida is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
  • South Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Florida's last 7 games
  • South Florida is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Florida State home to North Carolina, Saturday, October 1st
USF at Cincinnati, Saturday, October 1st

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