Boise State 3-TD Chalk vs Fresno State
The Boise State Broncos will look to add another notch to their undefeated season Friday night when they visit the Fresno State Bulldogs.
Boise State is 9-1 both SU and ATS against Fresno State over the last 10 seasons and they have to lay 21 points here on the NCAA football betting line this week.
Doug Martin had a big game for Boise State against Nevada last week, rushing for 126 yards and two touchdowns.
Betting Line: The home team opened as 20-point underdogs in this NCAA football battle. The total opened at 57 but was bet quickly to 58.5 at shops such as TopBet who offer reduced-price college football betting on Tuesdays.
Power Rankings / Prediction: According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 82-rated Bulldogs and the No. 8-rated Broncos in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 49-27 win for the Broncos on Friday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Fresno State's No. 51-ranked offense (30.6 PPG) against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 20 at 16.8 PPG. The Bulldogs passing attack has averaged 258.2 yards per game, more than the Broncos give up through the air (186.5 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Broncos feature the league's No. 26-rated road run defense, allowing 117.5 yards per game. Fresno State, meanwhile, ranks No. 99 in rushing offense at home.
Boise State was a 30-10 winner in their most recent outing at home against Nevada. They failed to cover the 27.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (40) made winners of UNDER bettors.
In their last action, Fresno State was a 38-28 loser at home against Mississippi. They failed to cover the 3.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (66) was profitable news for OVER bettors.
Boise State Broncos Trends:
When playing in October are 10-0
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing outside the conference are 10-0
Fresno State Bulldogs Trends:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 4-6
A few Broncos at Bulldogs trends to consider:
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Fresno State
Boise State is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State's last 5 games
Fresno State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Fresno State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Fresno State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Boise State at Colorado State, Saturday, October 15
Fresno State home to Utah State, Saturday, October 15