Game Preview - Aztecs underdogs vs Wolf Pack at Nevada
San Diego State Aztecs vs Nevada Wolf Pack Odds
The Aztecs will be looking to pick up a win and cover the spread when they take on the Wolf Pack in Nevada at Mackay Stadium on Saturday in Week 8 action.
They battle the Aztecs, currently with a 4-3 mark (4-3 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 3-3 for the Wolf Pack and 3-3 for the Aztecs.
Betting Line: The Aztecs were listed as 6.5-point underdogs on the opening NCAA football line at 5Dimes and most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark. No total was available early in the week.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Wolf Pack - Aztecs odds would favor the Wolf Pack if the lines were set according to power ranks. Nevada is rated No. 61 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Aztecs sit at No. 91. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 46-45 win for the Wolf Pack.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Nevada's No. 14-ranked offense, averaging 41 PPG, against a Aztecs defense that ranks No. 68 this week at 26.7 PPG. The Wolf Pack aerial game is averaging 264.1 yards per game, less than the Aztecs secondary allows through the air, 265.4 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Aztecs feature the league's No. 23-rated road run defense, allowing 108 yards per game. Nevada, meanwhile, ranks No. 14 in rushing offense at home.
San Diego State won its last outing, a 38-14 result against Colorado State on October 13. San Diego State covered in that game as a 22.5-point favorite, while the 52 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Adam Muema tore up the turf for 105 rushing yards in the latest Aztecs game, a 38-14 win over the Rams at Qualcomm Stadium.
Nevada won its last outing, a 42-37 result against UNLV on October 13. Nevada failed to cover in that game as a 14.5-point favorite, while the 79 combined points took the game OVER the total. Stefphon Jefferson tore up the turf for 185 rushing yards in the latest Wolf Pack game, a 42-37 win over the Rebels at Sam Boyd Stadium.
San Diego State Aztecs Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 6-4
Nevada Wolf Pack Trends:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 8-2
A few Aztecs at Wolf Pack trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 7 games on the road
San Diego State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
San Diego State is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Nevada is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
Nevada is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Nevada is 1-4-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
San Diego State home to UNLV, Saturday, October 27
Nevada at Air Force, Saturday, October 27