Notre Dame vs Purdue betting preview
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Purdue Boilermakers Odds
After losing its Big Ten opener at Michigan, the Fighting Irish of Notre Dame visit in-state rival Purdue Saturday night (8 pm ET, ABC).
As of early this week the Irish (1-1), who have won the last five games in this series, were favored by 20 points over the Boilers (1-1), who have covered the spread in three of their last four games against the Golden Domers.
Purdue is just 1-7 SU, 3-5 ATS in eight recent clashes with Notre Dame.
Betting Line: The Fighting Irish were listed as 21.5-point favorites on the opening NCAA football line at 5Dimes and most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark. The total was 49 early in the week at Bovada.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 76-rated Fighting Irish taking on the No. 113-rated Boilermakers in this contest. Handicapping models indicate a 29-9 win for the Fighting Irish on Saturday.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Purdue's No. 115-ranked offense, averaging 13.5 PPG, against a Fighting Irish defense that ranks No. 54 this week at 23.5 PPG. The Boilermakers aerial game is averaging 155.5 yards per game, less than the Fighting Irish secondary allows through the air, 261 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Fighting Irish feature the league's No. 30-rated road run defense, allowing 166 yards per game. Purdue, meanwhile, ranks No. 83 in rushing offense at home.
Last time out for Notre Dame, they were a 41-30 loser as they battled Michigan on the road. Notre Dame failed to cover in the match as a 4.5-point underdog, while 71 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. In their last game, Notre Dame's aerial attack generated 314 yards but it was the Wolverines coming away with a 41-30 victory over Notre Dame at Michigan Stadium.
Purdue won its last outing, a 20-14 result against Indiana State on September 7. Purdue failed to cover in that game as a 17.5-point favorite, while the 34 combined points took the game UNDER the total. The Boilermakers grabbed a Week 2 victory over the Sycamores in their last game, winning 20-14 at Ross-Ade Stadium.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 8-2
Purdue Boilermakers Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 6-4
A few Fighting Irish at Boilermakers trends to consider:
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Purdue
Notre Dame is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Notre Dame is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Purdue's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Purdue's last 7 games when playing Notre Dame
Purdue is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
Purdue is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Notre Dame home to Michigan State, Saturday, September 21
Purdue at Wisconsin, Saturday, September 21