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Game Preview - Commodores underdogs vs Gators at Florida

Vanderbilt CommodoresFlorida Gators
Nov 5, 12:20 PM | Grass of Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Florida Gators Odds

4-4TEAM RECORD4-4

Florida looks to cover the Gators-Commodores point spread this week and improve its overall 4-4 mark when they host Vanderbilt in Week 10 action.

They will face the 4-4 Commodores, who own a 6-2 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Gators are 4-4 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Commodores are 4-4 favoring the OVER.

View Vanderbilt vs Florida Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The home team opened as 9.5-point favorites in this NCAA football battle. No over under line was available early in the week, but was set to posted shortly.

Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 57 (Gators) and the No. 54 (Commodores) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 30-26 result in favor of the Gators is predicted by handicapping models.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Florida's No. 74-ranked offense (26 PPG) against a Commodores defense that ranks No. 38 at 22.8 PPG. The Gators passing attack has averaged 186.4 yards per game, less than the Commodores give up through the air (206.9 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Commodores own the league's No. 37-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 142 yards per game when on the road. Florida, on the other hand, rates No. 100 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Vanderbilt was a 31-28 loser in their most recent outing at home against Arkansas. They covered the 8–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (59) made winners of OVER bettors.

Florida was a 24-20 loser in their most recent outing at home against Georgia. They failed to cover the 3–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (44) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Vanderbilt Commodores Trends:
When playing in November are 1-9
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 1-9
When playing within the conference are 1-9

Florida Gators Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 4-6

A few Commodores at Gators trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vanderbilt's last 11 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Vanderbilt is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Vanderbilt
Florida is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home

Next up:
Vanderbilt home to Kentucky, Saturday, November 12
Florida at South Carolina, Saturday, November 12

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