Game Preview - Jaguars underdogs vs Hilltoppers at South Alabama
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs South Alabama Jaguars Odds
The Jaguars will try to pay off for their supporters on Saturday when they play host to the Hilltoppers at Ladd Peebles Stadium in Week 3 action.
The Jaguars sit at 1-1 (1-1 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Hilltoppers are currently 1-1 (1-1 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? South Alabama is 1-1 OU, and Western Kentucky is 2-0 OU.
Betting Line: South Alabama were sitting as 10-point underdogs earlier in the week at Bovada. The total was to be set a bit later in the week for over under betting purposes.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Jaguars sit at No. 59 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Hilltoppers are at No. 32 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Jaguars will win this game 32-20.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up South Alabama's No. 61-ranked offense (31 PPG) against a Hilltoppers defense that ranks No. 111 at 39 PPG. The Jaguars passing attack has averaged 222.5 yards per game, more than the Hilltoppers give up through the air (172.5 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Hilltoppers feature the league's No. 57-rated road run defense, allowing 240 yards per game. South Alabama, meanwhile, ranks No. 64 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, Western Kentucky was a 52-20 loser on the road against Tennessee. They failed to cover the 14.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (72) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Antonio Andrews went over the 100-yard mark (111) in his team's latest effort, but Tennessee still defeated Western Kentucky by a score of 52-20.
South Alabama was a 41-39 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Tulane. They covered the 4.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (80) made winners of OVER bettors. The Jaguars grabbed a Week 2 victory over the Green Wave in their last game, winning 41-39 at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Trends:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 6-4
South Alabama Jaguars Trends:
When playing in September are 2-6
When playing on turf are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 2-3
When playing within the conference are 1-7
A few Hilltoppers at Jaguars trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 7 games
Western Kentucky is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Alabama's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Alabama's last 7 games
South Alabama is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
South Alabama is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Western Kentucky home to Morgan St, Saturday, September 21
South Alabama at Tennessee, Saturday, September 28