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Game Preview - Rockets underdogs vs Broncos at Western Michigan

Toledo RocketsWestern Michigan Broncos
Sep 29, 7:00 PM | Turf of Waldo Stadium

Toledo Rockets vs Western Michigan Broncos Odds

3-1TEAM RECORD2-2

Toledo travels to Western Michigan on Saturday, hoping to boost its 3-1 mark in Week 5 action with a victory over the Broncos.

This season the Broncos are 2-2 overall and 2-2 ATS against the number, while the Rockets are 3-1 and 3-1 ATS. As for the totals, Western Michigan is 1-2 on the OU, and Toledo is 1-2.

View Toledo vs Western Michigan Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The Broncos were listed as 3-point favorites at sportsbooks on the opening college football line.

Power Rankings / Prediction: According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 88-rated Broncos and the No. 90-rated Rockets in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 31-30 win for the Rockets on Saturday.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Western Michigan's No. 67-ranked offense, averaging 28 PPG, against a Rockets defense that ranks No. 66 this week at 24.5 PPG. The Broncos aerial game is averaging 282.2 yards per game, less than the Rockets secondary allows through the air, 325.2 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Rockets own the league's No. 77-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 210.5 yards per game when on the road. Western Michigan, on the other hand, rates No. 84 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Toledo was a 38-28 winner in its last match at home against Coastal Carolina. The game involved a non-board team, hence there was no line or total on it. Last time out, Coastal Carolina could not slow down Bernard Reedy, who managed 122 receiving yards in the Rockets 38-28 victory over the Chanticleers Saturday.

In their last action, Western Michigan was a 30-24 winner at home against Connecticut. They covered the 1.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (54) was profitable news for OVER bettors. In their last gridiron battle, Josh Schaffer did much of the damage, producing 104 receiving yards as Western Michigan beat the Huskies 30-24 at Waldo Stadium.

Toledo Rockets Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 9-1
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 9-1

Western Michigan Broncos Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 7-3

A few Rockets at Broncos trends to consider:
Toledo is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Toledo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing Western Michigan
Toledo is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games when playing Toledo
Western Michigan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toledo
Western Michigan is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Toledo

Next up:
Toledo home to Central Michigan, Saturday, October 6
Western Michigan home to Massachusetts, Saturday, October 6