South Carolina vs Miss State betting
Coming off a crazy comeback overtime victory over a top-five team on the road the 6-2 South Carolina Gamecocks now take on 4-3 Mississippi State this Saturday for Homecoming in Columbia (12:20 pm ET, ESPN3).
The 'Cocks just rallied from down 17-0 in the fourth quarter at then-No. 5 Missouri Saturday to escape with a 27-24 victory, with help from a botched Tigers field goal that would have forced a third OT.
So the Gamecocks are in second place in the SEC East, but own the head-to-head tie-breaker over first-place Mizzou.
In the early wagering South Carolina, which is only 3-5 ATS this season, was favored by 13 points over the Bulldogs, who are 0-3 ATS over their last three games.
“The Bulldogs haven’t won much as a road underdog, as their 2-7 ATS run proves,” said Jack Randall.
Backers of the Gamecocks have seen them go 6-2 and 3-5 ATS so far this season, while the Bulldogs are at 4-3 and 3-4 ATS. In totals betting, the Bulldogs are 3-4, while the Gamecocks are 4-4. The past four meetings of these SEC rivals played UNDER the total.
The game pits the Gamecocks, currently No. 19 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Bulldogs, who rate No. 74 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 33-32 victory for the Gamecocks.
Mississippi State was a 28-22 winner in their most recent outing at home against Kentucky. They failed to cover the 12.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (50) made winners of UNDER bettors. South Carolina won its last game, 27-24 over Missouri on Saturday, behind a 136-yard receiving performance from Bruce Ellington at Memorial Stadium.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits South Carolina's No. 50-ranked offense, averaging 31.88 PPG, against a Bulldogs defense that ranks No. 38 this week at 22.86 PPG. The Gamecocks aerial game is averaging 269.25 yards per game, more than the Bulldogs secondary allows through the air, 212.57 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Bulldogs feature the league's No. 91-rated road run defense, allowing 203 yards per game. South Carolina, meanwhile, ranks No. 45 in rushing offense at home.
A few Bulldogs at Gamecocks trends to consider:
Mississippi State is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Mississippi State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Mississippi State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Mississippi State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
South Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
South Carolina is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
South Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Mississippi State at Texas A&M, Saturday, November 9th
South Carolina at Florida, Saturday, November 16th