Gators vs Bulldogs SEC Betting Preview
The Georgia Bulldogs are favored to make it three straight over the Florida Gators in an SEC East matchup that still has a lot riding on it.
Both teams have been ravaged by injuries and have lost two straight entering Saturday’s game in Jacksonville, Fla. But the winner still has a shot at the East Division title and a berth in the SEC Championship Game.
Georgia’s star running back Todd Gurley is expected to play after missing the previous three games with ankle injury. He’s a difference-maker for the Bulldogs that will test Florida’s top-ranked defense.
Florida will be missing a starting offensive tackle, but does get outside linebacker Ronald Powell to help bolster the Gators’ defense. Florida gave up 500 yards of offense in a loss to Missouri, but still owns the top statistical defense in the SEC.
The Gators have covered the spread in four of their last five games as underdogs.
The Gators sit at 4-3 (2-5 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Bulldogs are currently 4-3 (1-5-1 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Florida is 2-5 OU, and Georgia is 6-1 OU.
The Gators - Bulldogs odds would favor the Bulldogs if the lines were set according to power ranks. Florida is rated No. 41 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Bulldogs sit at No. 29. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 29-27 win for the Gators.
Georgia was a 31-27 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Vanderbilt. They failed to cover the 6.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (58) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last game, the Bulldogs were Week 8 losers coming out on the wrong end of 31-27 score against Vanderbilt. The Gators suffered a Week 8 loss against Missouri in their last game, falling 36-17 at Memorial Stadium.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Florida's No. 102-ranked offense, averaging 21.14 PPG, against a Bulldogs defense that ranks No. 101 this week at 33.29 PPG. The Gators aerial game is averaging 175.43 yards per game, less than the Bulldogs secondary allows through the air, 253.43 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Bulldogs own the league's No. 57-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 168.33 yards per game when on the road. Florida, on the other hand, rates No. 53 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Bulldogs at Gators trends to consider:
Georgia is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Georgia is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Georgia's last 9 games
Georgia is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Florida
Florida is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
Florida is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games
Florida is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Georgia
Georgia at Appalachian State, Saturday, November 9th
Florida at Vanderbilt, Saturday, November 9th