It’s Championship Week in college football, and three of the week’s biggest line movements come in games with a conference title on the line.
Here’s a look at the four games with this week’s biggest line movements, including the conference championships of the SEC, Pac-12, and Conference USA.
Georgia vs. LSU (from -10.0 to -14.0 at Sportsbook)
At 12-0 SU and 9-3 ATS, LSU has been a dominant force all season long, and bettors don’t expect that to change in the SEC Championship Game at the Georgia Dome. Georgia doesn’t have any wins over teams currently in the Top 25, and LSU has three over teams currently in the Top 10. LSU is 6-0 ATS away from home this season and 8-0 ATS in games in which they are favored by less than 28 points.
UCLA @ Oregon (from -29.5 to -31.5 at Sportsbook)
Due to the fact that USC is bowl ineligible, the UCLA Bruins are representing the Pac-12 South despite just having lost to USC 50-0 last week. With UCLA’s awful performance last week and mediocre season overall (6-6 SU), bettors are pounding the far superior Oregon Ducks (10-2 SU) for Friday. The spread is the largest ever in a conference championship game.
Southern Miss @ Houston (from -13.0 to -14.5 at Sportsbook)
Houston is one win away from finishing the season undefeated and earning a BCS Bowl berth, and many bettors are expecting them to do just that and cover in the process. Southern Miss has had a strong season (10-2 SU, 7-5 ATS), but Houston has been even better at 12-0 SU and 10-2 ATS and are a perfect 6-0 ATS at home this season.
Texas @ Baylor (from -2.0 to -3.0 at Sportsbook)
Bettors bet Baylor up to being a 3-point favorite in the week’s biggest line move outside of the conference championship games above. Robert Griffin III will look to make one more case for himself in the Heisman trophy race with a big game against Texas. Texas is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games against Baylor, but the one loss came last year in Texas as Baylor won as a 7.5-point underdog on the road.
