Handicapping College Football BCS Winners
Futures betting is only for the strategic and patient bettors among us – and betting BCS futures is no exception.
Unlike the rush of weekly spread, moneyline, and totals betting, wagering on which college football school wins the BCS national championship requires a great deal of sitting on one’s hands and watching the season play out.
The good news is it’s easy to see which programs are the contenders in August, and which schools are prohibitive longshots. Only 14 different schools have played in the BCS National Championship Game since its inception, and that doesn’t account for the teams that have actually won the title.
Preseason rankings are a key indicator of which team is going to be left standing at the end of the season. When LSU won the BCS in 2007, it did so with two losses during the regular season. What happened? The Tigers went into the year ranked No. 1 in the national polls. LSU was supposed to win the national title that year, and if there was any reason to get it into the big game, it was getting the benefit of the doubt.
The Tigers, of course, won the SEC that season, and therein lies the major factor in handicapping BCS futures. When in doubt, pick the school you cap to win the SEC: Heading into the 2011 season, the conference had cashed the last five BCS titles, and was 7-0 outright in the BCS National Championship Game overall. The Big 12 has made the title game seven times, but it’s 2-5 SU when getting there.
Strength of schedule is huge, too, obviously. Look at a prospective contender’s road map prior to kickoff on the season. The contender with the most favorable schedule often finds itself in its conference title game, making them a safer futures bet than the stud that has a couple of toughies on the road.
Winning NCAAF future bets like who will be college football's BCS championshipship winner is no easy task. And it takes training to avoid the pitfalls that can damage your bankroll.