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Heart of Dallas Bowl betting pick

The Big Ten meets the Big 12 when 6-6 Purdue takes on 7-5 Oklahoma State in the Heart of Dallas Bowl New Year's Day at the Cotton Bowl (noon ET, ESPNU).

Early Heart of Dallas Bowl betting odds were listing the Cowboys, who finished tied for third in the Big 12 this season but lost their last two games, as 16-point favorites over the Boilers, who went 3-5 in the Big Ten and just fired their head coach.

Oklahoma State has scored at least 33 pts in 9 of past 10 bowl games, a key point for totals bettors. Purdue, meanwhile, is just 2-6 ATS in their last eight bowl games. [ More Heart of Dallas Bowl betting info and stats ]

View Purdue vs Oklahoma State Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook.ag had set the Cowboys as 18-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total was 70 in early betting at Bovada.



Purdue Bowl History

1997Alamo BowlPurdue33Oklahoma State203.5PURDUE
1998Alamo BowlKansas State34Purdue37-14KAN.ST
1999Outback BowlGeorgia28Purdue255.5PURDUE
2000Rose BowlPurdue24Washington341WASH
2001Sun BowlPurdue27Washington State33-6Push
2002Sun BowlPurdue34Washington24-2PURDUE
2003Capital One BowlGeorgia34Purdue273.5GEORGI
2004Sun BowlArizona State27Purdue23-7.5ARIZST
2006Champs Sports BowlPurdue7Maryland241.5MARYL
2007Motor City BowlCentral Michigan48Purdue51-8CMICH
2011Little Caesars Pizza BowlWestern Michigan32Purdue37-1.5PURDUE

Oklahoma State Bowl History

1997Alamo BowlPurdue33Oklahoma State203.5PURDUE
2002Houston BowlSouthern Miss23Oklahoma State33-10Push
2003Cotton BowlMississippi31Oklahoma State283Push
2004Alamo BowlOhio State33Oklahoma State7-2OHIOST
2006Independence BowlOklahoma State34Alabama312OKLAST
2007Insight BowlIndiana33Oklahoma State49-6.5OKLAST
2008Holiday BowlOregon42Oklahoma State311OREG
2009Cotton BowlMississippi21Oklahoma State73.5MISS
2010Alamo BowlArizona10Oklahoma State36-4.5OKLAST
2011Fiesta BowlStanford38Oklahoma State41-5STANFO

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Oklahoma State's No. 4-ranked offense, averaging 44.7 PPG, against a Boilermakers defense that ranks No. 72 this week at 29 PPG. The Cowboys aerial game is averaging 333.4 yards per game, more than the Boilermakers secondary allows through the air, 227.5 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Boilermakers feature the league's No. 27-rated road run defense, allowing 132.6 yards per game. Oklahoma State, meanwhile, ranks No. 13 in rushing offense at home.

In their last action, Purdue was a 56-35 winner at home against Indiana. They covered the 5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (91) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Robert Marve led his team to victory last time out, throwing for 348 yards Saturday as the Boilermakers downed the Hoosiers 56-35 at Ross-Ade Stadium.

In their last action, Oklahoma State was a 41-34 loser on the road against Baylor. They failed to cover the 4-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (75) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In their last game, Oklahoma State's aerial attack generated 333 yards but it was the Bears coming away with a 41-34 victory over Oklahoma State at Floyd Casey Stadium.

Purdue Boilermakers Trends:
When playing in January are 0-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When an underdog on the road are 2-8

Oklahoma State Cowboys Trends:
When playing in January are 1-2
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 8-2
When favored at home are 10-0

A few Boilermakers at Cowboys trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Purdue's last 10 games
Purdue is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games