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Heart of Dallas Bowl betting pick

The Big Ten meets the Big 12 when 6-6 Purdue takes on 7-5 Oklahoma State in the Heart of Dallas Bowl New Year's Day at the Cotton Bowl (noon ET, ESPNU).

Early Heart of Dallas Bowl betting odds were listing the Cowboys, who finished tied for third in the Big 12 this season but lost their last two games, as 16-point favorites over the Boilers, who went 3-5 in the Big Ten and just fired their head coach.

Oklahoma State has scored at least 33 pts in 9 of past 10 bowl games, a key point for totals bettors. Purdue, meanwhile, is just 2-6 ATS in their last eight bowl games. [ More Heart of Dallas Bowl betting info and stats ]

View Purdue vs Oklahoma State Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook.ag had set the Cowboys as 18-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total was 70 in early betting at Bovada.

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Purdue Bowl History


1997 Alamo Bowl Purdue 33 Oklahoma State 20 3.5 PURDUE
1998 Alamo Bowl Kansas State 34 Purdue 37 -14 KAN.ST
1999 Outback Bowl Georgia 28 Purdue 25 5.5 PURDUE
2000 Rose Bowl Purdue 24 Washington 34 1 WASH
2001 Sun Bowl Purdue 27 Washington State 33 -6 Push
2002 Sun Bowl Purdue 34 Washington 24 -2 PURDUE
2003 Capital One Bowl Georgia 34 Purdue 27 3.5 GEORGI
2004 Sun Bowl Arizona State 27 Purdue 23 -7.5 ARIZST
2006 Champs Sports Bowl Purdue 7 Maryland 24 1.5 MARYL
2007 Motor City Bowl Central Michigan 48 Purdue 51 -8 CMICH
2011 Little Caesars Pizza Bowl Western Michigan 32 Purdue 37 -1.5 PURDUE

Oklahoma State Bowl History


1997 Alamo Bowl Purdue 33 Oklahoma State 20 3.5 PURDUE
2002 Houston Bowl Southern Miss 23 Oklahoma State 33 -10 Push
2003 Cotton Bowl Mississippi 31 Oklahoma State 28 3 Push
2004 Alamo Bowl Ohio State 33 Oklahoma State 7 -2 OHIOST
2006 Independence Bowl Oklahoma State 34 Alabama 31 2 OKLAST
2007 Insight Bowl Indiana 33 Oklahoma State 49 -6.5 OKLAST
2008 Holiday Bowl Oregon 42 Oklahoma State 31 1 OREG
2009 Cotton Bowl Mississippi 21 Oklahoma State 7 3.5 MISS
2010 Alamo Bowl Arizona 10 Oklahoma State 36 -4.5 OKLAST
2011 Fiesta Bowl Stanford 38 Oklahoma State 41 -5 STANFO
               

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Oklahoma State's No. 4-ranked offense, averaging 44.7 PPG, against a Boilermakers defense that ranks No. 72 this week at 29 PPG. The Cowboys aerial game is averaging 333.4 yards per game, more than the Boilermakers secondary allows through the air, 227.5 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Boilermakers feature the league's No. 27-rated road run defense, allowing 132.6 yards per game. Oklahoma State, meanwhile, ranks No. 13 in rushing offense at home.

In their last action, Purdue was a 56-35 winner at home against Indiana. They covered the 5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (91) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Robert Marve led his team to victory last time out, throwing for 348 yards Saturday as the Boilermakers downed the Hoosiers 56-35 at Ross-Ade Stadium.

In their last action, Oklahoma State was a 41-34 loser on the road against Baylor. They failed to cover the 4-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (75) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In their last game, Oklahoma State's aerial attack generated 333 yards but it was the Bears coming away with a 41-34 victory over Oklahoma State at Floyd Casey Stadium.

Purdue Boilermakers Trends:
When playing in January are 0-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When an underdog on the road are 2-8

Oklahoma State Cowboys Trends:
When playing in January are 1-2
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 8-2
When favored at home are 10-0

A few Boilermakers at Cowboys trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Purdue's last 10 games
Purdue is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games