Hilltoppers vs Red Wolves Game Preview

Western Kentucky HilltoppersArkansas State Red Wolves
Sep 29, 7:00 PM | Turf of ASU Stadium

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Odds

3-1TEAM RECORD2-2

The Hilltoppers will be looking to pick up a win and cover the spread when they take on the Red Wolves in Arkansas State at ASU Stadium on Saturday in Week 5 action.

The Red Wolves currently sports a record of 2-2, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 2-2 ATS. The Hilltoppers are 3-1 and 4-0 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Red Wolves post a 2-1 over under record this season, while the Hilltoppers have gone 2-1 against the number.

View Western Kentucky vs Arkansas State Odds and Stats.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Red Wolves at No. 34 and the Hilltoppers at No. 11 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 37-32 result in favor of the Hilltoppers.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Arkansas State's No. 44-ranked offense (34 PPG) against a Hilltoppers defense that ranks No. 58 at 23.2 PPG. The Red Wolves passing attack has averaged 250.2 yards per game, more than the Hilltoppers give up through the air (167.2 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Hilltoppers feature the league's No. 10-rated road run defense, allowing 72 yards per game. Arkansas State, meanwhile, ranks No. 6 in rushing offense at home.

Western Kentucky won its last outing, a 42-17 result against Southern Miss on September 22. Western Kentucky covered in that game as a 3-point favorite, while the 59 combined points took the game OVER the total. Southern Miss was unable to contain Antonio Andrews in its last action Saturday and the result was a 42-17 Week 4 loss against the Hilltoppers.

Arkansas State was a 56-0 winner in their most recent outing at home against Alcorn State. There was no line on the game due to the fact a non-board team was involved. In their last game, Arkansas State got a 104-yard performance from Rod Smith as a key part of its 56-0 win over Alcorn State.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Trends:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 7-3

Arkansas State Red Wolves Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 8-2

A few Hilltoppers at Red Wolves trends to consider:
Western Kentucky is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Western Kentucky is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Arkansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arkansas State is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games

Next up:
Western Kentucky at Troy, Thursday, October 11
Arkansas State at Florida International, Thursday, October 4

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