Florida State looks to get one step closer to a division title when it visits Blacksburg to take on Virginia Tech Thursday night (7:30 pm ET, ESPN).
The Seminoles, who are tied with Clemson atop the ACC's Atlantic Division, were early 13-point road favorites over the Hokies, who have uncharacteristically lost four of their last five games.
Betting Line: Bettors going with the Hokies in this game found them listed as 12-point underdogs on the betting line at Sportsbook.ag earlier in the week but it was bet up to -14.5 by midweek. The total was sitting at 51.5 Wednesday over at 5Dimes.
Power Rankings / Prediction: It's a betting matchup between the No. 57-rated Hokies and the No. 2-ranked Seminoles, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 60-30 result in favor of the Seminoles.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Virginia Tech's No. 70-ranked offense, averaging 27.1 PPG, against a Seminoles defense that ranks No. 3 this week at 12 PPG. The Hokies aerial game is averaging 237.2 yards per game, more than the Seminoles secondary allows through the air, 154.2 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Seminoles own the league's No. 8-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 73.3 yards per game when on the road. Virginia Tech, on the other hand, rates No. 41 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
In their last action, Florida State was a 48-7 winner at home against Duke. They covered the 27-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (55) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Devonta Freeman ran through the Duke defense for 104 yards in Florida State's last game, handing the Blue Devils a 48-7 setback on Saturday at Doak Campbell Stadium.
Last time out for Virginia Tech, they were a 30-12 loser as they battled Miami on the road. Virginia Tech failed to cover in the match as a 1-point favorite, while 42 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, Virginia Tech got a 124-yard performance from Logan Thomas, but Miami prevailed 30-12.
Florida State Seminoles Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 8-2
Virginia Tech Hokies Trends:
When playing in November are 9-1
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 6-4
A few Seminoles at Hokies trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games on the road
Florida State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Florida State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 6 games when playing Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games when playing Florida State
Virginia Tech is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
Virginia Tech is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida State
Florida State at Maryland, Saturday, November 17
Virginia Tech at Boston College, Saturday, November 17