Holiday Bowl Betting: Bruins Bears Odds

Coming off the disappointment of losing the Pac-12 championship game 9-4 UCLA looks to get to double-digits in victories for this season when it plays 7-5 Baylor in the Holiday Bowl Thursday, Dec. 27 in San Diego (9:45 pm ET, ESPN).

Early Holiday Bowl odds were listing the Bruins as two-point favorites over the Bears, who finished tied for fifth place in the Big 12 this year.

Favorites are 11-3 ATS in the past 14 Holiday Bowls, while the past four games all played UNDER the total. [ More Holiday Bowl betting information, stats and trends ]

The game opened as a PK (watch for line moves at 5Dimes) with a huge total of 79.5.

View Baylor vs UCLA Odds and Stats.


Baylor Bowl History

YearBowlTeam1ScoreTeam2ScoreTeam2 LineATS win
2010Texas BowlIllinois38Baylor142ILLINO
2011Alamo BowlWashington56Baylor67-9BAYLOR

UCLA Bowl History

YearBowlTeam1ScoreTeam2ScoreTeam2 LineATS win
1995Aloha BowlUCLA30Kansas515KANSAS
1997Cotton BowlUCLA29Texas A&M2312TEXA&M
1998Rose BowlWisconsin38UCLA31-9WISCSN
2000Sun BowlUCLA20Wisconsin21-4.5UCLA
2002Las Vegas BowlNew Mexico13UCLA27-9.5UCLA
2003Silican Valley BowlUCLA9Fresno State173FRESNO
2004Las Vegas BowlWyoming24UCLA21-12.5WYOMNG
2005Sun BowlNorthwestern38UCLA50-3UCLA
2006Emerald BowlFlorida State44UCLA27-3.5FLAST
2007Las Vegas BowlUCLA16BYU17-6.5UCLA
2009Eagle Bank BowlUCLA30Temple214UCLA
2011Kraft Fight Hunger BowlUCLA14Illinois20-3ILLINO

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up UCLA's No. 29-ranked offense (35.1 PPG) against a Bears defense that ranks No. 117 at 38.2 PPG. The Bruins passing attack has averaged 271.6 yards per game, less than the Bears give up through the air (323.1 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Bears own the league's No. 89-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 204.6 yards per game when on the road. UCLA, on the other hand, rates No. 40 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Baylor was a 41-34 winner in their most recent outing at home against Oklahoma State. They covered the 4-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (75) made winners of UNDER bettors. Last time we saw the Cowboys, they had no answer for Lache Seastrunk as the Bears rolled to a 41-34 victory at Floyd Casey Stadium.

In their last action, UCLA was a 27-24 loser on the road against Stanford. They covered the 9.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (51) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Johnathan Franklin ran through the Stanford defense for 194 yards in UCLA's last game, but the Bruins still lost a 27-24 decision at Stanford Stadium.

Baylor Bears Trends:
When playing in December are 3-1
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

UCLA Bruins Trends:
When playing in December are 3-7
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

A few Bears at Bruins trends to consider:
Baylor is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baylor's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UCLA's last 5 games
UCLA is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games