Hoosiers vs Badgers Preview
Wisconsin Badgers vs Indiana Hoosiers Odds
In the game that, as hard as it might be to believe, might decide which team represents the Leaders Division in the upcoming Big Ten championship game, the Indiana Hoosiers host the Wisconsin Badgers Saturday afternoon (noon ET, ESPN2).
In the early betting Wisconsin was favored by six points over IU.
Betting Line: Oddsmakers at 5Dimes opened the Hoosiers as 7-point underdogs in the matchup, while the betting total had not been set at press time (check the college football odds link for the latest on the over under)..
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Hoosiers - Badgers odds would favor the Badgers if the lines were set according to power ranks. Indiana is rated No. 89 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Badgers sit at No. 29. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 35-31 win for the Badgers.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Indiana's No. 43-ranked offense (33.1 PPG) against a Badgers defense that ranks No. 16 at 17.6 PPG. The Hoosiers passing attack has averaged 299.9 yards per game, more than the Badgers give up through the air (203.2 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Badgers own the league's No. 51-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 155 yards per game when on the road. Indiana, on the other hand, rates No. 113 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Wisconsin lost its last outing, a 16-13 result against Michigan State on October 27. Wisconsin failed to cover in that game as a 4.5-point favorite, while the 29 combined points took the game UNDER the total. In their last game, the Badgers were Week 9 losers coming out on the wrong end of 16-13 score against Michigan State.
Indiana won its last outing, a 24-21 result against Iowa on November 3. Indiana covered in that game as a 2-point favorite, while the 45 combined points took the game UNDER the total. In their last game, Indiana's aerial attack generated 315 yards and the Hoosiers came away with a 24-21 victory over Iowa at Memorial Stadium.
Wisconsin Badgers Trends:
When playing in November are 9-1
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 8-2
Indiana Hoosiers Trends:
When playing in November are 2-8
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 2-8
A few Badgers at Hoosiers trends to consider:
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Wisconsin's last 11 games when playing Indiana
Wisconsin is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indiana's last 11 games when playing Wisconsin
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Wisconsin
Indiana is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games
Wisconsin home to Ohio State, Saturday, November 17
Indiana at Penn State, Saturday, November 17