Notre Dame Miami Betting Preview
A rowdy rivalry from a couple of decades ago is renewed when 4-0 Notre Dame and 4-1 Miami-Florida meet at Soldier Field in Chicago Saturday night (7:30 pm ET, NBC).
The Irish, who had last week off after their victory over Michigan, were early 13-point favorites over the Hurricanes, who just won a crazy game over NC State.
If you believe in zig-zags, try this one - the Irish have alternated ATS wins and losses the last nine times they were favored. They are due for an ATS loss here Saturday.
Betting Line: Bettors looking to side with the Fighting Irish in this one found them as 11.5-point favorites at 5Dimes but bet up to -14 by late Friday. The over under number was sitting around 53.5 at shops such as TopBet.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Fighting Irish sit at No. 13 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Hurricanes are at No. 92 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Fighting Irish will win this game 43-28.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Notre Dame's No. 77-ranked offense (25.8 PPG) against a Hurricanes defense that ranks No. 100 at 33.4 PPG. The Fighting Irish passing attack has averaged 211 yards per game, less than the Hurricanes give up through the air (269 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Hurricanes feature the league's No. 93-rated road run defense, allowing 223.7 yards per game. Notre Dame, meanwhile, ranks No. 120 in rushing offense at home.
Miami won its last outing, a 44-37 result against North Carolina State on September 29. Miami covered in that game as a 2-point favorite, while the 81 combined points took the game OVER the total. Stephen Morris's 566-yard performance through the air was enough last time out, as Miami earned a 44-37 win over North Carolina State on Saturday at Sun Life Stadium.
Notre Dame was a 13-6 winner in their most recent outing at home against Michigan. They covered the 6-point spread as favorites, while the total score (19) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Fighting Irish grabbed a Week 4 victory over the Wolverines in their last game, winning 13-6 at Notre Dame Stadium.
Miami Hurricanes Trends:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the conference are 5-5
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 7-3
A few Hurricanes at Fighting Irish trends to consider:
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Notre Dame's last 7 games
Notre Dame is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Notre Dame is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games at home
Miami home to North Carolina, Saturday, October 13
Notre Dame home to Stanford, Saturday, October 13