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Miami 14 Point Chalk vs Virginia

A pair of 4-3 teams go at it Thursday in ACC betting action as the Miami Hurricanes face the Virginia Cavaliers.
The Canes are favored by two touchdowns with the total nestled around 48 points as of Wednesday.

Virginia coaches indicate that sophomore QB Michael Rocco will get the lion's share of touches this week, as they backtrack on the dual-QB theory they have embraced with limited success this season.

View Virginia vs Miami Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Bettors looking to side with the Hurricanes in this one will find them as 13.5-point favorites. The total was in the 48 range and the best OVER line as well as the best Virginia underdog number are at TopBet.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Hurricanes sit at No. 39 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Cavaliers are at No. 32 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Hurricanes will win this game 33-26.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Miami's No. 54-ranked offense (29.4 PPG) against a Cavaliers defense that ranks No. 40 at 23 PPG. The Hurricanes passing attack has averaged 212.7 yards per game, more than the Cavaliers give up through the air (176 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Cavaliers feature the league's No. 80-rated road run defense, allowing 185 yards per game. Miami, meanwhile, ranks No. 64 in rushing offense at home.

Virginia was a 28-14 loser in their most recent outing at home against North Carolina State. They failed to cover the 3–point spread as favorites, while the total score (42) made winners of UNDER bettors.

In their last action, Miami was a 24-7 winner at home against Georgia Tech. They covered the 3–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (31) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

Virginia Cavaliers Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing within the conference are 2-8

Miami Hurricanes Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 6-4

 

A few Cavaliers at Hurricanes trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia's last 6 games when playing Miami
Virginia is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Virginia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games at home
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Virginia

Next up:
Virginia at Maryland, Saturday, November 5
Miami home to Duke, Saturday, November 5

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