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Is It Worth Backing WVU As Massive Favorite?

West Virginia has been one of the best teams in college football most people don’t talk about. Kansas is rightfully overlooked, as they suck. But is it worth taking the Mountaineers as massive spread favorites over the Jayhawks?

West Virginia opened as 32-point favorites with the line jumping to -34.5 by Tuesday morning. Though WVU is a much better team than Kansas, the Mountaineers have never been able to consistently cover a spread that big. West Virginia has been favored by 30-plus points six times in our database and has gone 1-5 ATS, with the one cover coming in 1995.

The last time West Virginia was this big a favorite came last season against Liberty when the team closed as 32.5-point chalk. WVU easily won that game but failed to cover the huge spread.

When these teams met last season, it was an embarrassing 49-0 shellacking for West Virginia.  Since the start of the 2012 college football season, WVU has beaten Kansas by an average of 32.3 points per game.

Kansas has been terrible within conference play this season, as the Jayhawks have gone 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS. Kansas has managed to be a terrible bet in those outings despite being spotted an average of 30.3 ppg.

WVU’s Biggest Spreads In Team History
DateOpponentClosing SpreadFinal ScoreDid WVU Cover?
Sept 12, 2016Liberty-32.541-17No
Sept 14, 2013Georgia State-41.541-7No
Aug 31, 2013William & Mary-32.024-17No
Sept 15, 2012James Madison-36.542-12No
Sept 10, 2011Norfolk State-46.055-12No
Sept 23, 1995Kent State-31.045-6Yes

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