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Jaguars open as underdog vs Trojans

South Alabama Jaguars Troy Trojans
2-2 October 05, 2013, 01:00 | Veterans Memorial Stadium 2-3

 

Troy will look to improve on its 2-3 record this week when they host South Alabama in Week 6 action at Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday.

They battle the Jaguars, currently with a 2-2 mark (3-1 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 5-0 for the Trojans and 1-2-1 for the Jaguars.

View South Alabama Jaguars vs Troy Trojans Odds and Stats.

The Trojans were listed as -2.5-point favorites at sportsbooks such as Bovada on the college football lines.

It's a betting matchup between the No. 84-rated Trojans and the No. 90-ranked Jaguars, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 30-29 result in favor of the Jaguars.

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South Alabama was a 31-24 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Tennessee. They covered the 16-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (55) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Jaguars suffered a Week 5 loss against Tennessee in their last game, falling 31-24 at Neyland Stadium. Corey Robinson led the way last time out for the Trojans, connecting for 354 passing yards, but failing to earn the victory in a 38-31 loss to the Trojans at Wallace Wade Stadium.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Troy's No. 46-ranked offense, averaging 34.4 PPG, against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 82 this week at 29 PPG. The Trojans aerial game is averaging 320.8 yards per game, more than the Jaguars secondary allows through the air, 249 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Jaguars feature the league's No. 93-rated road run defense, allowing 217.67 yards per game. Troy, meanwhile, ranks No. 49 in rushing offense at home.

A few Jaguars at Trojans trends to consider:
South Alabama is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
South Alabama is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Alabama's last 9 games
South Alabama is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Troy is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Troy is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Troy's last 5 games
Troy is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home

Next up:
South Alabama at Kent State, Saturday, October 19th
Troy at Georgia State, Saturday, October 12th