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Jonny Knows Picks: College Edition Week 14

Hard to believe Conference Championship week is here. It would be far more sad if we didn't have bowl season right after. 

Let's see if we can get a couple of wins to finish the regular season off. 

I went 4-5 last week with my column picks and have to admit I'm a little salty about it. Auburn failed to cover by a point at the number I posted here (-17) and Michigan-Ohio State would have gone UNDER easily if not for OT. 

Tough beats happen. Gotta keep rolling on. I'm now 54-46 on the season. My picks for this week:  

Colorado vs Washington -7.5, 58.5

  • Washington has won and covered the last seven meetings 
  • Colorado is in the underdog role again, which is where they like to be 
  • Colorado leads Pac-12 in total defense and passing defense 
  • Huskies rank first in scoring defense and had nine first-team All-Pac 12 players 
  • Buffs have missed eight of 24 field goal attempts and special teams could play a role in who wins this one 
  • Colorado was the second-best bet in the nation this season at 10-2 ATS behind only Temple at 11-1 ATS
  • Washington 10-1 to win national title and Colorado is 66-1  
  • Colorado was 50-1 to win the Pac-12 to start the season with a season O/U win total of 4.5 games

Pick: Colorado +7.5 

Oklahoma St vs Oklahoma -11, 77.5

  • Really high total here. Three of Sooners’ last four games have played UNDER and their defense has played a little better recently 
  • Two teams combined for 1,050 yards of offense per game
  • Sooners are the better team in my view but 11 points feels like just a tad too many
  • This game might see some light rain 

Pick: Oklahoma on a teaser with Alabama 

Florida vs Alabama -24.5, 41 

  • Second-biggest underdog spot for Florida in our database. Biggest was 2013 vs Florida State at -28.5
  • Alabama has covered 8 of the last 10 meetings 
  • Florida O/U on points is 7.5 with the UNDER at -155 
  • Alabama has failed to cover two games in a row despite big wins. Bama on a teaser might be worth a look if the spread feels like too many for you 

Pick: Alabama on a teaser with Oklahoma 

Clemson vs Virginia Tech +10, 58

  • Clemson has covered the last three meetings but most recent was 2012 
  • Virginia Tech likes to throw a lot of different blitz looks at teams so going to be interesting against a mobile QB like Deshaun Watson  
  • I think this game will come down to how well the Hokies can slow Clemson’s front on defense. Tigers rank second in the nation in tackles for loss and fourth in sacks 

Pick: UNDER  

Penn State vs Wisconsin -2.5, 47

  • Nittany Lions have covered seven games in a row. Badgers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine 
  • Last three Wisconsin games have played OVER. Four of the last five Penn State games played OVER and the last four meetings went OVER 
  • Penn State has a bad habit of starting slowly lately.1-5 ATS at halftime over its last 6 games  

Pick: Wisconsin 

Temple VS Navy -3, 61 

  • 18 mph winds and cool day. Won’t hurt Navy any with triple option offense. Also coming off one of its best performances in school history  

Pick: Navy 

San Diego State VS Wyoming +7, 62.5 

  • 19 degrees with 13 mph winds for this game. Not ideal conditions for a San Diego team giving away a touchdown on the road 

Pick: Wyoming 

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