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Jonny Knows Picks: College Edition Week 9

I went 3-4 last week and I’m now 35-19 over the past six weeks. Good luck this weekend. 

Here’s who I like: 

Michigan at Michigan State +24.5, 55 (opened -20)

  • We all know what happened here last year in an insane game forever known as the Michigan State Miracle 
  • Michigan State has covered the spread in eight straight games in this rivalry and I think we’re looking at an inflated line once again for Michigan. The Wolverines have failed to cover in 3 of their past 5 games that were all wins but the lines were inflated. I think this one is too 

Pick: Michigan State

Washington at Utah +10, 53.5

  • Washington team just does everything well – 14th in scoring offense, 6th in scoring defense in the nation 
  • Washington's run defense is OK but not fabulous with 145 yds against/gm
  • Utes RB Joe Williams has 5 TDs and over 500 yds last two games
  • Utes lead FBS with 22 take-aways and 14 INTs

Pick: Utah

Florida vs. Georgia +7.5, 43.5 

  • Florida had 8 false-start penalties in its last game vs. Mizzou. That's how out of sync this offense is
  • Bulldogs rank 12th in SEC in scoring offense under freshman QB Jacob Eason
  • Georgia's defense is really good against the run – 15th-best in the country. I think they slow Florida's run game and this one turns into a grind  

Pick: Georgia +7.5 and I like UNDER

Nebraska at Wisconsin -8.5, 43 

  • Nebraska hasn't played anybody yet and Wisconsin is 4-0 ATS vs. Top 25 teams this year 
  • Don't think Nebraska's defense is as good as the numbers advertise but Wisconsin isn't a team that's gonna rack it up on you 
  • A lot of banged-up players on Wisconsin. Schedule has taken its toll. Too many points 

Pick: Nebraska 

Auburn at Ole Miss +4, 63

  • Auburn is 6-1 against the spread so it’s no surprise most of the money is on them here. They are absolutely pounding the ball lately with almost 400 yards rushing/gm over their last 3 
  • Ole Miss is 112th in the nation against the run 
  • Auburn is a very popular play this week which has me a little nervous but I think Auburn will try to run the ball and control the clock. I think this total is too high

Pick: UNDER   

 
Clemson at Florida State +4.5, 60 

  • Most of the money on Clemson here which drove this line up to 4.5 from 2.5 
  • Last two meetings produced 40 points or less 
  • Florida State defense is playing really well last two games
  • Huge injury here to Bobo Wilson, second-best receiver and one of the nation's best punt returners. I think the Noles are going to have trouble moving the ball without him

Pick: UNDER and lean toward Clemson

Miami at Notre Dame +2, 58.5

  • Inconsistent QB play from Brad Kaaya has been one of the big factors in Miami's three-game losing streak 
  • Notre Dame is the kind of defense you want to face if you're looking to get back on track. I don't think he'll be pressured like he was in recent games 
  • Injuries on defense have also hurt Miami and I think the Canes will give up some points and this one is going to turn into a shootout. I don't think this total is nearly high enough 

PICK: OVER  

Others: 
New Mexico-Hawaii – OVER 66.5
WVU at Oklahoma State – West Virginia -3.5

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