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Knights vs Mustangs Preview

Southern Methodist MustangsCentral Florida Knights
Nov 3, 7:00 PM | Grass of Bright House Networks Stadium

Southern Methodist Mustangs vs Central Florida Knights Odds

4-4TEAM RECORD6-2

In a big game down in Conference USA the Knights of Central Florida host the Mustangs of SMU Saturday night (7 pm ET, CBS Sports Network).

UCF, which leads CUSA's East Division at 4-0, was an early 10-point favorites over SMU, which sits in second place in the West at 3-1.

View Southern Methodist vs Central Florida Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The visitors opened as 10-point underdogs in this one at 5Dimes and most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark. No total had been posted as of press time check the live lines pages in the coming days to see where the number opened.

Power Rankings / Prediction: It's a betting matchup between the No. 33-rated Knights and the No. 58-ranked Mustangs, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 44-34 result in favor of the Knights.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Central Florida's No. 27-ranked offense (36 PPG) against a Mustangs defense that ranks No. 60 at 26.6 PPG. The Knights passing attack has averaged 238.8 yards per game, less than the Mustangs give up through the air (282.8 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Mustangs feature the league's No. 24-rated road run defense, allowing 122.3 yards per game. Central Florida, meanwhile, ranks No. 77 in rushing offense at home.

Last time out for Southern Methodist, they were a 44-13 winner as they battled Memphis at home. Southern Methodist covered in the match as a 21-point favorite, while 57 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Garrett Gilbert throttled the Tigers defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 353 yards as Southern Methodist handed Memphis a 44-13 defeat.

Last time out for Central Florida, they were a 54-17 winner as they battled Marshall on the road. Central Florida covered in the match as a 2.5-point favorite, while 71 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Latavius Murray tore up the turf for 156 rushing yards in the latest Knights game, a 54-17 win over the Thundering Herd at Joan C. Edwards Stadium.

Southern Methodist Mustangs Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 6-4

Central Florida Knights Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few Mustangs at Knights trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 7 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Central Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Florida's last 6 games
Central Florida is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Central Florida's last 12 games at home

Next up:
Southern Methodist home to Southern Miss, Saturday, November 10
Central Florida at Texas El Paso, Saturday, November 10