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Lobos host Bobcats in Week 6 action

Texas State BobcatsNew Mexico Lobos
Oct 6, 6:00 PM | Grass of University Stadium

Texas State Bobcats vs New Mexico Lobos Odds

2-2TEAM RECORD2-3

The Lobos will try to pay off for their supporters on Saturday when they play host to the Bobcats at University Stadium in Week 6 action.

The Bobcats will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 3-1 ATS against the number this season, while the Lobos are 2-2 ATS. Texas State is 1-2 on the totals; New Mexico is 1-3.

View Texas State vs New Mexico Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Bettors going with the Lobos in this game found them listed as 3-point favorites on the betting line at Sportsbook.ag earlier in the week.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Lobos, currently No. 73 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Bobcats, who rate No. 67 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 25-20 victory for the Lobos.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New Mexico's No. 67-ranked offense (27.2 PPG) against a Bobcats defense that ranks No. 107 at 35.5 PPG. The Lobos passing attack has averaged 56.8 yards per game, less than the Bobcats give up through the air (321.8 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Bobcats feature the league's No. 34-rated road run defense, allowing 115 yards per game. New Mexico, meanwhile, ranks No. 5 in rushing offense at home.

In their last action, Texas State was a 34-21 loser at home against Nevada. They covered the 18-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (55) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Andy Erickson hauled in 8 passes for 108 yards against the Nevada defense in the team's last game, but the result was a 34-21 loss against the Wolf Pack on Saturday.

New Mexico was a 32-29 loser in their most recent outing at home against Boise State. They covered the 23.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (61) made winners of OVER bettors. The Lobos suffered a Week 5 loss against Boise State in their last game, falling 32-29 at University Stadium.

Texas State Bobcats Trends:
When playing in October are 2-1
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-4
When playing outside the conference are 2-8

New Mexico Lobos Trends:
When playing in October are 0-10
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing outside the conference are 2-8

A few Bobcats at Lobos trends to consider:
Texas State is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games
Texas State is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
New Mexico is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games at home
New Mexico is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games

Next up:
Texas State home to Idaho, Saturday, October 13
New Mexico at Hawaii, Saturday, October 13