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Lobos visit Broncos in Week 14 battle

New Mexico LobosBoise State Broncos
3-8November 30, 2013, 10:15 | Bronco Stadium7-4



The Lobos will be looking to pick up a win and cover the spread when they take on the Broncos in Boise State at Bronco Stadium on Saturday in Week 14 action.

They battle the Lobos, currently with a 3-8 mark (5-5-1 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 7-4 for the Broncos and 9-2 for the Lobos.

View New Mexico Lobos vs Boise State Broncos Odds and Stats.

On the opening line for this matchup, the Broncos sat as -35-point favorites, according to 5Dimes. The total, meanwhile, had not been posted early in the week, so check the lines pages for the latest.

The game pits the Broncos, currently No. 21 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Lobos, who rate No. 108 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 45-24 victory for the Broncos.

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New Mexico lost its last outing, a 69-28 result against Fresno State on November 23. New Mexico failed to cover in that game as a 34-point underdog, while the 97 combined points took the game OVER the total. New Mexico was hammered in its last outing, as Fresno State ran up a 69-28 score against them at Bulldog Stadium. Jay Ajayi tore up the turf for 103 rushing yards in the latest Broncos game, a 34-31 loss to the Aztecs at Qualcomm Stadium.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Boise State's No. 18-ranked offense (38.18 PPG) against a Lobos defense that ranks No. 120 at 42.55 PPG. The Broncos passing attack has averaged 269.82 yards per game, more than the Lobos give up through the air (259.82 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Lobos own the league's No. 119-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 275.2 yards per game when on the road. Boise State, on the other hand, rates No. 20 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Lobos at Broncos trends to consider:
New Mexico is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 5 games
New Mexico is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games on the road
Boise State is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boise State's last 10 games
Boise State is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games at home
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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