In a game that will help decide who wins the Big East this season the Louisville Cardinals host the Cincinnati Bearcats Friday night (8 pm ET, ESPN2).
The Cardinals, 7-0 overall and 2-0 in conference play, were early four-point favorites over the 'Cats, who just got upset by Toledo in a non-conference game.
Betting Line: Fans backing the Cardinals here saw them open at 5Dimes as 6-point favorites in this college football clash. The total was bet to 52.5 at by mid-week.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Cardinals rated this week at No. 35 and the Bearcats sitting at No. 27. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 44-37 result in favor of the Bearcats this week.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Louisville's No. 45-ranked offense (32.4 PPG) against a Bearcats defense that ranks No. 20 at 16.8 PPG. The Cardinals passing attack has averaged 244.1 yards per game, more than the Bearcats give up through the air (229.8 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Bearcats own the league's No. 84-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 194.5 yards per game when on the road. Louisville, on the other hand, rates No. 75 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Cincinnati lost its last outing, a 29-23 result against Toledo on October 20. Cincinnati failed to cover in that game as a 5-point favorite, while the 52 combined points took the game UNDER the total. The Bearcats suffered a Week 8 loss against Toledo in their last game, falling 29-23 at Glass Bowl.
Louisville was a 27-25 winner in its last match at home against South Florida. They failed to cover the 6-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 52 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. In their last game, the Cardinals were Week 8 winners, coming out on top of the Bulls by a score of 27-25.
Cincinnati Bearcats Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 6-4
Louisville Cardinals Trends:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on turf are 9-1
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 8-2
A few Bearcats at Cardinals trends to consider:
Cincinnati is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisville
Cincinnati is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Louisville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Louisville is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Cincinnati home to Syracuse, Saturday, November 3
Louisville home to Temple, Saturday, November 3