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Alabama Failing to Cover At Home

Alabama Running Back Henry

Despite a 4-1 SU record at home this season, the Alabama Crimson Tide have failed to cover in every single one of those games. ‘Bama will not have an easy task to end that trend this weekend as they play host to Leonard Fournette and LSU on Saturday.

Shark Bites
  • LSU is 5-2 SU in their past seven games visiting Alabama.
  • Fournette & Derrick Henry have combined for 2396 rushing yards and 28 rushing touchdowns this season.
  • Neither team scored a rushing touchdown in their meeting last season.

The biggest matchup in college football this weekend will be Alabama’s run defense against Fournette. ‘Bama has only allowed a 100 yard rusher twice this season and are third in the nation in rushing yards allowed. However they will be facing current Heisman favorite Fournette who leads the country in rushing yards and rushing touchdowns.

A win for LSU this weekend will mean a lot for a team that is facing teams ranked in the Top 25 in three of their final four games of the regular season. On the other sideline, a loss by ‘Bama means they will likely be kissing their SEC title hopes goodbye.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as BetOnline had set the Alabama Crimson Tide as -7-point favorites on the opening betting line for this contest with the total sitting at 44.5

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 32-31 win for the Tigers. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

LSU Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Alabama Crimson Tide currently sport a record of 7-1, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 3-5 ATS. The LSU Tigers are 7-0 and 4-3 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Alabama Crimson Tide post a 3-5 over under record this season, while the LSU Tigers have gone 6-1 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Alabama vs LSU injuries news.

The Alabama Crimson Tide sit at No. 5 in the current College Football Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the LSU Tigers are at No. 26 on that chart.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Alabama Crimson Tide No. 43-ranked offense (33.5 PPG) against a LSU Tigers defense that ranks No. 40 at 22.57 PPG. The Alabama Crimson Tide passing attack has averaged 233.38 yards per game, more than the LSU Tigers give up through the air (222.14 YPG on average).

Defensively, the LSU Tigers feature the league's No. 4-rated road run defense, allowing 81.33 yards per game. Alabama, meanwhile, ranks No. 68 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In LSU's last outing, Brandon Doughty threw for 325 yards to lead the Tigers over Western Kentucky 48-20 at Tiger Stadium.

 

The Crimson Tide grabbed a Week 8 victory over the Volunteers in their last game, winning 19-14 at Bryant-Denny Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • LSU is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU's last 5 games
  • LSU is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Alabama is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games
  • Alabama is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

LSU home to Arkansas, Saturday, November 14th
Alabama at Mississippi State, Saturday, November 14th

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