LSU Has Been a Risky Bet in Bowl Games

New Year’s Eve features a plethora of highly anticipated college football games, and the Citrus Bowl could be the best of the bunch. Louisville and LSU will collide in Orlando, Florida on December 31 at Camping World Stadium.

Shark Bites
  • LSU is 5-2 SU and ATS in its last seven games against teams with winning records.
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of Louisville's last 17 games.
  • Louisville is 21-8 SU in its last 29 games after losing as a favorite.

The matchup pits the SEC’s No. 2 finisher (or its top non-New Year’s Six team) against another club from either the Big Ten or the ACC.

LSU has traditionally been an ice-cold wager in bowl games, as the Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last five contests on the big stage. After starting the year 0-4 ATS, the Tigers went 5-2 ATS in their remaining seven games.

The team played much better under Ed Orgeron after former head coach Les Miles was fired, and the players will likely be fired up in this one due to the well-liked Orgeron shedding the interim label and being named the full-time coach.

The UNDER was a great wager when LSU took the field this year. In the Tigers’ 11 tilts, the UNDER went 2-7-2.

LSU Tigers vs Louisville Cardinals Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Louisville Cardinals are 9-3 so far on the season, and 6-6 ATS vs the point spread. The LSU Tigers, meanwhile, are 7-4 and 5-6 ATS. Those over under betting have seen Louisville go 8-4 and the LSU Tigers go 2-8-1 on the totals. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Louisville vs LSU injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Louisville Cardinals rated this week at No. 8 and the LSU Tigers sitting at No. 15.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Louisville Cardinals No. 1-ranked offense (45.33 PPG) against a LSU Tigers defense that ranks No. 6 at 16.36 PPG. The Louisville Cardinals passing attack has averaged 302 yards per game, more than the LSU Tigers give up through the air (200.36 YPG on average).

Defensively, the LSU Tigers feature the league's No. 30-rated road run defense, allowing 139.25 yards per game. Louisville, meanwhile, ranks No. 10 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, LSU's aerial attack generated 324 yards and the Tigers came away with a 54-39 victory over Texas A&M at Kyle Field.

Lamar Jackson ran through the Kentucky defense for 171 yards in Louisville's last game, but the Cardinals still lost a 41-38 decision at Papa John's Cardinal Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Louisiana State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Louisiana State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Louisiana State's last 15 games
  • Louisville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Louisville is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of Louisville's last 17 games
LSU is 5-2 SU and ATS in its last seven games against teams with winning records. The total has gone OVER in 12 of Louisville's last 17 games. Louisville is 21-8 SU in its last 29 games after losing as a favorite.
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