Midshipmen visit Trojans in Week 11 NCAAF clash
Navy Midshipmen vs Troy Trojans Odds
The visiting Midshipmen hope to send their backers to the pay window on Saturday as they look to cover the spread at Veterans Memorial Stadium against the Trojans.
The Trojans sit at 4-5 (5-4 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Midshipmen are currently 6-3 (4-5 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Troy is 5-4 OU, and Navy is 2-6 OU.
Betting Line: Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook.ag had set the Trojans as 1-point underdogs on the opening line for this contest.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Trojans, currently No. 93 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Midshipmen, who rate No. 66 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 29-27 victory for the Midshipmen.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Troy's No. 53-ranked offense, averaging 30.1 PPG, against a Midshipmen defense that ranks No. 41 this week at 23.1 PPG. The Trojans aerial game is averaging 315 yards per game, more than the Midshipmen secondary allows through the air, 197.6 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Midshipmen own the league's No. 66-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 171.8 yards per game when on the road. Troy, on the other hand, rates No. 90 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Navy won its last outing, a 24-17 result against Florida Atlantic on November 3. Navy failed to cover in that game as a 17-point favorite, while the 41 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Florida Atlantic was unable to contain Keenan Reynolds in its last action Saturday and the result was a 24-17 Week 10 loss against the Midshipmen.
Troy was a 55-48 loser in its last match on the road against Tennessee. They covered the 18.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 103 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. Corey Robinson led the way last time out for the Trojans, connecting for 393 passing yards, but failing to earn the victory in a 55-48 loss to the Trojans at Neyland Stadium.
Navy Midshipmen Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the conference are 7-3
Troy Trojans Trends:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the conference are 3-7
A few Midshipmen at Trojans trends to consider:
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 6 games on the road
Navy is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games
Troy is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
Troy is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
Troy is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Navy home to Texas State, Saturday, November 17
Troy home to Arkansas State, Saturday, November 17