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Alabama Has Historically Owned Mississippi State

There has not been a ton to get excited about when Alabama and Mississippi State have faced each other over the past several years, as this SEC battle has been completely one-sided. The Tide have won the past eight meetings against the Bulldogs, with an average scoring margin of plus-20.5 points for ’Bama.

Shark Bites
  • The UNDER is 8-1 in the past nine games between Alabama and Mississippi State.
  • Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Mississippi State's last 17 games against the SEC.

Alabama’s offense wasn’t pretty in a 10-0 win over LSU last week, but the defense continued to be the best in the nation. The Tide have given up a combined 24 points and 566 yards in their past three outings, all of which came against ranked opponents.

Upset-minded Mississippi State is coming off a big win over then fourth-ranked Texas A&M thanks to Nick Fitzgerald. The sophomore quarterback accounted for 391 offensive yards and four touchdowns against a defense that ranks in the top 25 in points allowed.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Several shops tracked by Odds Shark (including Bovada) set the point spread at -28.5 for the Alabama Crimson Tide . NCAA football bettors had to wait for the opening over under value, which was not available at press time (check the live lines pages here for the latest totals updates).

Odds Shark prediction models pick the Crimson Tide to win this game on Saturday 49-22. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Alabama will face the 4-5 Mississippi State Bulldogs, who own a 4-5 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Alabama Crimson Tide are 4-5 so far this season while the Bulldogs are 4-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Alabama vs Mississippi State injuries news.

The Alabama Crimson Tide sit at No. 2 in the current College Football Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Mississippi State Bulldogs are at No. 56 on that chart.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Alabama's No. 8-ranked offense, averaging 43.88 PPG, against a Mississippi State defense that ranks No. 84 this week at 30 PPG. The Alabama aerial game is averaging 229.62 yards per game, less than the Mississippi State Bulldogs secondary allows through the air, 263.88 YPG per game.

Defensively, the Mississippi State Bulldogs feature the league's No. 0-rated road run defense, allowing 180.75 yards per game. Alabama, meanwhile, ranks No. 0 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Nick Fitzgerald tore up the turf for 182 rushing yards in the latest Bulldogs game, a 35-28 win over the Aggies at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field.

Last time we saw the Tigers, they had no answer for Jalen Hurts as the Crimson Tide rolled to a 10-0 victory at Tiger Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Mississippi State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games
  • Mississippi State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games on the road
  • Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games
  • Alabama is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Mississippi State home to Arkansas, Saturday, November 19th
Alabama home to Chattanooga, Saturday, November 19th

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