NCAA Championship Game Betting Trends
It's conference championship weekend and the four major games will decide which teams play in the BCS National Championship Game in January. For the first time in several years, the SEC title game is not the focus for fans and college football bettors. The ACC title game is expected to send Florida State to the national final, as they are favored huge against surprising Duke.
And in the Big Ten, Ohio State has the inside track to play in January if it can defeat Michigan State.
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The SEC championship is still important and both Auburn and Missouri can make a case for the BCS final with an impressive win. Out west in the Pac 12 championship, Oregon is not involved and this will mainly decide the Rose Bowl rep. Stanford visits Arizona State in that one.
Just because the BCS combatants are not yet known doesn’t mean we can't see odds on the game, whatever it may look like. Online sportsbook Bovada has posted projected lines on numerous potential matchups.
In all cases, it means FSU would be a double-digit favorite in the national final. Meanwhile, Alabama sits at home and steams and waits for a different January game than the one they have won the past two seasons.
Projected BCS Championship Game Spreads
Florida State -10
Ohio State +10
Florida State -12.5
Florida State -13.5
Ohio State -2.5
Ohio State -3.5
Check out some trends on each game courtesy of the OddsShark college football database.
SEC Trends – Matchup Report
Auburn is 11-0 SU, 8-3 ATS past 11 games as favorites
Missouri is 10-2 ATS in its past dozen conference games
Auburn is 7-0 ATS in its last seven conference games
Four straight and 8 of 10 SEC title games played OVER the total
Auburn is 11-2 SU past 13 post-season games (counting bowls)
Big Ten Trends – Matchup Report
First two Big Ten title games played way OVER the total
Spartans are 8-1-1 against the spread in their last 10 games as underdogs
Ohio State has won eight of the last 10 meetings with Michigan State
OSU won 24 in a row SU, but failed to cover past three games vs Big ten foes
MSU 9-0 SU, 7-2 ATS past 9 conference games
Pac 12 Trends – Matchup Report
First two Pac 12 title games played OVER the total
Arizona state has played OVER in 14 of past 20 games
Stanford is riding a hot 8-1 ATS streak
ASU won eight straight conference games (6-2 ATS)
Stanford is 15-2 SU past 17 conference games
OVER is 9-3 past 12 ASU games where they are favored
ACC Trends – Matchup Report
Winner of game also covered spread in seven of eight ACC title games
Florida State is 12-0 straight-up and 10-2 against the spread this year
Duke is 10-2 ATS on the year
Duke has covered the spread in its last five games as an underdog
FSU 5-1 ATS past 6 conference games
Duke has covered seven straight within the ACC
FSU 5-0 ATS past five games when favored by 20 or more points