No. 2 Auburn tries to stay undefeated on the road against No. 9 Alabama on Friday afternoon - but the defending national champion Crimson Tide are 6-0 at home this season and have won their last two home games by a combined 93-17 margin.
Oddsmakers seem to believe Alabama’s home dominance will halt Auburn’s streak. The spread is widening; it opened at 4 points at both and Sportsbook.ag and has since grown to 4.5 points. Few books have set an over/under yet, though tentatively has it at 58 points. The first thing bettors should consider is picking the UNDER. The last five meetings between these two teams at Alabama have gone under the total.
As for the pick – as intimidating as Alabama looks, it’s not often that you can get underdog value on an undefeated team, is it? The Tigers have Cam Newton leading an offense that has scored at least 49 points in four of its last five games. Also, Alabama is a run-first team and Auburn’s defensive strength lies in stopping the run (11th in the nation).
Another undefeated school, top-ranked Oregon, hosts 20th-ranked Arizona on Friday. The line has already shifted from 17 to 19.5 points at and Sportsbook.ag. has the total at 61.5 points. Picking the OVER and OREGON seem like the right moves. Good offensive schools like Stanford have exposed Arizona’s supposedly elite defense and nobody scores like Oregon. The Ducks average a league-leading 50.7 points per game and should put on a show.
Undefeated, third-ranked Boise State visits No. 19 Nevada on Friday night. Oddsmakers don’t see Nevada as a threat to the mighty Broncos. and Sportsbook.ag both have Boise State favored by 14 points, with the total opening at 68 points. Boise State looks like a solid bet to cover; it’s 8-2 against the spread this season and 7-2 ATS over its last nine against Nevada.
Another game drawing lots of action this week: No. 6 LSU’s battle with No. 12 Arkansas on Saturday. Riding a powerhouse passing attack led by Heisman Trophy candidate Ryan Mallett, the Razorbacks are favored by 3.5 points at and Sportsbook.ag, though the line opened at 4 points. has the total at 54. Is there a chance that LSU provides underdog value in this matchup? It’s decently equipped to counter Mallett with the nation’s fourth-ranked pass defense. The Tigers have also finally started scoring more, having tallied 94 points over their last two games. Steven Ridley is piping hot, with five touchdowns over that span.