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NCAAF Line Moves: Luck Leading Cardinal

The college football betting card for Week 6 is heavily loaded with mismatches, and as a result many of the games feature double-digit spreads. The tricky part for both bettors and bookmakers is determining just how mismatched the two teams are.

This week, early bettors seemed to think lines on some big favorites were too soft, and bet them hard. Here’s a look at the four games with the biggest line movements in Week 6.

Marshall @ Central Florida (from -14.5 to -19.0 at Bovada)

Despite the fact that UCF has lost two straight, bettors feel they are a great pick this week, moving the line 4.5 points against them. Recent history favors this move, as UCF is 6-1 SU and ATS against Marshall over the last seven seasons.

Mississippi State @ UAB (from +15.5 to +19.0 at TopBet)

Mississippi State is 0-4 ATS this season, but that didn’t stop early bettors from betting them as a big double-digit road favorite against the 0-4 SU UAB Blazers. While UAB is just 1-3 in their last four games against Mississippi State, they have put up a fight in the past, going 3-1 ATS over those four games.

Colorado @ Stanford (from -27.0 to -30.0 at BetOnline)

Heisman frontrunner Andrew Luck has led Stanford to a dominating 4-0 SU and ATS start, and bettors believe that profitable streak will continue against the lowly Buffaloes. Stanford covered easily as a 30-point favorite in a 57-3 win over San Jose State in their season opener.

Florida State @ Wake Forest (from +13.0 to +10.0 at 5Dimes)

Bucking the trend of going with the favorite, early bettors were taking the points on Wake Forest at home against Florida State. The Seminoles are 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS this season while Wake Forest is 3-1 SU and ATS, but Florida State has had a much more difficult schedule to this point with losses to Oklahoma and Clemson.