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NCAAF Matchup - Bears Wildcats Odds Preview

Kansas State WildcatsBaylor Bears
Nov 17, 8:00 PM | Turf of Floyd Casey Stadium

Kansas State Wildcats vs Baylor Bears Odds

10-0TEAM RECORD4-5

Now 10-0 and No. 1 in the latest BCS standings, Kansas State hits the Big 12 road for a game at 4-5 Baylor Saturday night (8 pm ET, ESPN).

In the early betting the Wildcats were favored by 11 points over the Bears, who have lost five of their last six games.

View Kansas State vs Baylor Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Bettors looking to back the visiting Wildcats in this one found them as 10-point favorites on the opening college football point spread at TopBet. Bookmark the college football odds pages to see where the over under number opens in this game.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Bears, currently No. 71 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Wildcats, who rate No. 7 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 60-39 victory for the Wildcats.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Baylor's No. 7-ranked offense (42.7 PPG) against a Wildcats defense that ranks No. 14 at 17.7 PPG. The Bears passing attack has averaged 367.7 yards per game, more than the Wildcats give up through the air (251.7 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Wildcats own the league's No. 9-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 84 yards per game when on the road. Baylor, on the other hand, rates No. 26 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Kansas State was a 23-10 winner in their most recent outing on the road against TCU. They covered the 7-point spread as favorites, while the total score (33) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Wildcats grabbed a Week 11 victory over the Horned Frogs in their last game, winning 23-10 at Amon Carter Stadium.

Baylor was a 42-34 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Oklahoma. They covered the 21-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (76) made winners of OVER bettors. The Bears suffered a Week 11 loss against Oklahoma in their last game, falling 42-34 at Memorial Stadium.

Kansas State Wildcats Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 9-1
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 10-0

Baylor Bears Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 5-5

A few Wildcats at Bears trends to consider:
Kansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas State's last 5 games on the road
Kansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Kansas State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baylor
Baylor is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Baylor is 10-2-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baylor's last 7 games
Baylor is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games

Next up:
Kansas State home to Texas, Saturday, December 1
Baylor home to Texas Tech, Saturday, November 24