South Alabama Jaguars vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Odds
The NCAAF betting menu features a clash between Mississippi State and South Alabama on Saturday, with the host Bulldogs trying to win both for fans supporting them and bettors backing them.
Supporters of the Jaguars have seen them go 1-2 and 1-2 ATS so far this season, while the Bulldogs are at 3-0 and 2-1 ATS. In totals betting, the Bulldogs are 0-2, while the Jaguars are 1-1.
Betting Line: Oddsmakers opened the Bulldogs as 32.5-point favorites in the game, while the betting total had not been set at the time of writing.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Bulldogs - Jaguars odds would favor the Bulldogs if the lines were set according to power ranks. Mississippi State is rated No. 51 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Jaguars sit at No. 99. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 46-16 win for the Bulldogs.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Mississippi State's No. 27-ranked offense (38 PPG) against a Jaguars defense that ranks No. 55 at 22.3 PPG. The Bulldogs passing attack has averaged 219.7 yards per game, more than the Jaguars give up through the air (189.3 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Jaguars feature the league's No. 37-rated road run defense, allowing 127 yards per game. Mississippi State, meanwhile, ranks No. 56 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, South Alabama was a 31-7 loser on the road against North Carolina State. They covered the 29.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (38) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. South Alabama didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Wolfpack as North Carolina State blasted them 31-7 in Week 3 action.
Mississippi State won its last outing, a 30-24 result against Troy on September 15. Mississippi State failed to cover in that game as a 14.5-point favorite, while the 54 combined points took the game UNDER the total. In their last game, Mississippi State got a 179-yard performance from LaDarius Perkins as a key part of its 30-24 win over Troy.
South Alabama Jaguars Trends:
When playing in September are 1-4
When playing on grass are 0-2
After being outgained are 1-1
When playing outside the conference are 1-4
Mississippi State Bulldogs Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 10-0
A few Jaguars at Bulldogs trends to consider:
South Alabama is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
South Alabama home to Troy, Saturday, September 29
Mississippi State at Kentucky, Saturday, October 6