Ole Miss vs Miss State Odds Preview
The Rebels of Ole Miss are headed to a bowl but it would be nice if they could post a .500 record in the SEC.
They get their chance Thanksgiving night when they hit Starkville for the annual Egg Bowl battle with the Mississippi State Bulldogs.
The Rebs had won four games in a row, but lost at home to Missouri Saturday 24-10.
On the other side of this Magnolia State match-up, Mississippi State had lost three games in a row, but snapped that streak with an overtime victory at Arkansas Saturday. So the 5-6 Bulldogs can become bowl-eligible if they win Thursday night.
As of early this week Ole Miss, which broke a three-game losing streak in this rivalry with a 41-24 Egg Bowl victory last year, was favored by seven points over MSU at BetOnline.
The Bulldogs sport a record of 5-6 and 6-5 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Rebels sit at 7-4 and 6-5 ATS on the season. The over under records are 4-7 for the Bulldogs and 6-5 for the Rebels.
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Bulldogs at No. 72 and the Rebels at No. 32 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 32-27 result in favor of the Rebels.
Mississippi was a 24-10 loser in their most recent outing at home against Missouri. They failed to cover the 1.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (34) made winners of UNDER bettors. Last time we saw the Razorbacks, they had no answer for Josh Robinson as the Bulldogs rolled to a 24-17 victory at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Mississippi State's No. 76-ranked offense, averaging 27.18 PPG, against a Rebels defense that ranks No. 48 this week at 24.91 PPG. The Bulldogs aerial game is averaging 244.27 yards per game, more than the Rebels secondary allows through the air, 223.45 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Rebels own the league's No. 80-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 196.5 yards per game when on the road. Mississippi State, on the other hand, rates No. 53 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Rebels at Bulldogs trends to consider:
Mississippi is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi's last 6 games
Mississippi is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 games
Mississippi State is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
Mississippi State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Mississippi
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Mississippi State's last 11 games when playing Mississippi