The Florida State Seminoles, barring something unforeseen, are two victories away from playing in the BCS national championship game.
There may be a bit of controversy surrounding their quarterback, but as long as he's on the field FSU stands a great chance of playing in the upcoming national title game.
The first of those two hurdles comes Saturday when the 'Noles head over to Gainesville for their annual in-state battle with the Florida Gators.
Florida State is 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS, and has won its last three games, albeit over some inferior competition, by a combined score of 198-20.
Florida, on the other hand, has collapsed in on itself, losing its last six games in a row. The Gators just hit their low point, losing at home to Georgia Southern (of FCS) over the weekend 26-20.
As of early this week this game had FSU as 28-point favorites at Sportsbook, despite the uncertainty of the situation surrounding Seminoles QB Jameis Winston. The total was 45 at Sportsbook.
Backers of the Gators have seen them go 4-7 and 3-7-1 ATS so far this season, while the Seminoles are at 11-0 and 9-2 ATS. In totals betting, the Seminoles are 10-1, while the Gators are 4-7.
View Florida State Seminoles vs Florida Gators Odds and Stats.
The game pits the Gators, currently No. 58 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Seminoles, who rate No. 1 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 55-25 victory for the Seminoles.
Florida State was a 80-14 Sportsbook in its last match at home against Idaho. They covered the 58-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 94 sent OVER bettors to the payout window. The Gators suffered a Week 13 loss against Ga Southern in their last game, falling 26-20 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Florida's No. 111-ranked offense, averaging 19.91 PPG, against a Seminoles defense that ranks No. 3 this week at 11.36 PPG. The Gators aerial game is averaging 176 yards per game, more than the Seminoles secondary allows through the air, 156.45 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Seminoles feature the league's No. 25-rated road run defense, allowing 130.5 yards per game. Florida, meanwhile, ranks No. 81 in rushing offense at home.
A few Seminoles at Gators trends to consider:
Florida State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Florida State's last 11 games
Florida State is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Florida is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 1-8-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Florida is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
