NCAAF Matchup - Mustangs Tigers Odds Preview

Memphis TigersSouthern Methodist Mustangs
Oct 27, 3:00 PM | Turf of Gerald J. Ford Stadium

Memphis Tigers vs Southern Methodist Mustangs Odds

1-6TEAM RECORD3-4

The visiting Tigers hope to send their backers to the pay window on Saturday as they look to cover the spread at Gerald J. Ford Stadium against the Mustangs.

Backers of the Mustangs have seen them go 3-4 and 4-3 ATS so far this season, while the Tigers are at 1-6 and 3-4 ATS. In totals betting, the Tigers are 3-3, while the Mustangs are 3-3.

View Memphis vs Southern Methodist Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The Tigers were listed as 20.5-point underdogs on the opening NCAA football line at 5Dimes and most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark. No total was available early in the week.

Power Rankings / Prediction: The Mustangs - Tigers odds would favor the Mustangs if the lines were set according to power ranks. Southern Methodist is rated No. 61 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Tigers sit at No. 122. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 29-13 win for the Mustangs.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Southern Methodist's No. 56-ranked offense (30 PPG) against a Tigers defense that ranks No. 95 at 32.1 PPG. The Mustangs passing attack has averaged 255 yards per game, more than the Tigers give up through the air (237.4 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Tigers feature the league's No. 70-rated road run defense, allowing 178.7 yards per game. Southern Methodist, meanwhile, ranks No. 120 in rushing offense at home.

Last time out for Memphis, they were a 35-17 loser as they battled Central Florida at home. Memphis covered in the match as a 24-point underdog, while 52 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. The Tigers suffered a Week 8 loss against Central Florida in their last game, falling 35-17 at Liberty Bowl.

In their last action, Southern Methodist was a 72-42 winner at home against Houston. They covered the 4-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (114) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Zach Line went over the 100-yard mark (113) in his team's latest effort as Southern Methodist defeated Houston by a score of 72-42 on Thursday.

Memphis Tigers Trends:
When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on turf are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing within the conference are 2-8

Southern Methodist Mustangs Trends:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few Tigers at Mustangs trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
Memphis is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

Next up:
Memphis at Marshall, Saturday, November 3
Southern Methodist at Central Florida, Saturday, November 3