The LSU Tigers will look to add yet another big win to their resume this week when the Florida Gators come to town, but if recent trends hold true, it could be the roadies covering the NCAA football spread.
Florida and LSU have split their series 5-5 SU in their last 10 games. But the home team has covered the spread only twice in those games. Florida is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LSU.
Florida QB John Brantley was injured last week and will sit against the Tigers.
View Florida vs LSU Odds and Stats.
Betting Line: The home team opened as 12-point favorites in this NCAA football battle. No over under line was available early in the week, but was set to posted shortly.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Tigers at No. 15 and the Gators at No. 38 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 50-44 result in favor of the Tigers.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up LSU's No. 19-ranked offense (38 PPG) against a Gators defense that ranks No. 13 at 14.8 PPG. The Tigers passing attack has averaged 177 yards per game, more than the Gators give up through the air (168.2 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Gators feature the league's No. 39-rated road run defense, allowing 134 yards per game. LSU, meanwhile, ranks No. 49 in rushing offense at home.
Florida was a 38-10 loser in its last match at home against Alabama. They failed to cover the 4–point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 48 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.
LSU won its last outing, a 35-7 result against Kentucky on October 1. LSU failed to cover in that game as a 29.5-point favorite, while the 42 combined points took the game UNDER the total.
Florida Gators Trends:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 5-5
LSU Tigers Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 8-2
A few Gators at Tigers trends to consider:
Florida is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Florida is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LSU
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games on the road
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LSU's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LSU's last 9 games when playing Florida
Next up:
Florida at Auburn, Saturday, October 15
LSU at Tennessee, Saturday, October 15
