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New Mexico Bowl betting preview

The 2012-13 college football bowl season kicks off with a Western regional match-up as 7-5 Nevada out of the Mountain West takes on 7-5 Arizona of the Pac-12 in the New Mexico Bowl Saturday, Dec. 15 in Albuquerque (1 pm ET, ESPN).

The early New Mexico Bowl betting odds list the Wildcats, back in a bowl in their first season under Coach Rich-Rod, as nine-point favorites over the Wolfpack, who are playing in a bowl for the eighth straight season.

The past four New Mexico Bowls have played OVER the total. [ More New Mexico Bowl odds, matchup and trends data ]

View Nevada vs Arizona Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Bettors going with the Wildcats in this game found them listed as 8-point favorites on the betting line at Sportsbook.ag earlier in the week. The total was 75 earlier over at Bovada.

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Arizona Bowl History
Year Bowl Team1 Score Team2 Score Team2 Line ATS win
1997 Insight Bowl New Mexico 14 Arizona 20 -9 NEWMEX
1998 Holiday Bowl Nebraska 20 Arizona 23 3.5 ARIZON
2008 Las Vegas Bowl BYU 21 Arizona 31 -3 ARIZON
2009 Holiday Bowl Nebraska 33 Arizona 0 2 NEBR
2010 Alamo Bowl Arizona 10 Oklahoma State 36 -4.5 OKLAST

Nevada Bowl History


Year Bowl Team1 Score Team2 Score Team2Line ATS win
1996 Las Vegas Bowl Nevada 18 Ball State 15   Push
2005 Hawaii Bowl Nevada 49 Central Florida 48 4 UCF
2006 MPC Computers Bowl Nevada 20 Miami 21 -4 NEVADA
2007 New Mexico Bowl Nevada 0 New Mexico 23 -2 NEWMEX
2008 Humanitarian Bowl Nevada 35 Maryland 42 2.5 MARYL
2009 Hawaii Bowl Southern Methodist 45 Nevada 10 -11 SMU
2010 Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl Boston College 13 Nevada 20 -8 BOST.C
2011 Hawaii Bowl Nevada 17 Southern Miss 24 -9 NEVADA

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Arizona's No. 17-ranked offense (37.2 PPG) against a Wolf Pack defense that ranks No. 96 at 32.5 PPG. The Wildcats passing attack has averaged 291.4 yards per game, more than the Wolf Pack give up through the air (218 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Wolf Pack feature the league's No. 104-rated road run defense, allowing 221.8 yards per game. Arizona, meanwhile, ranks No. 8 in rushing offense at home.

Nevada lost its last outing, a 27-21 result against Boise State on December 1. Nevada covered in that game as a 7.5-point underdog, while the 48 combined points took the game UNDER the total. In their last game, Nevada got a 139-yard performance from Stefphon Jefferson, but Boise State prevailed 27-21.

Last time out for Arizona, they were a 41-34 loser as they battled Arizona State at home. Arizona failed to cover in the match as a 2.5-point favorite, while 75 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Ka'Deem Carey ran through the Arizona State defense for 172 yards in Arizona's last game, but the Wildcats still lost a 41-34 decision at Arizona Stadium.

Nevada Wolf Pack Trends:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 8-2
When an underdog on the road are 3-7

Arizona Wildcats Trends:
When playing in December are 5-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When favored at home are 7-3

A few Wolf Pack at Wildcats trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada's last 6 games
Nevada is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Nevada is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games