New Mexico State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos in NCAAF odds tilt
New Mexico Lobos vs New Mexico State Aggies Odds
New Mexico travels to New Mexico State on Saturday, hoping to boost its 1-2 mark in Week 4 action with a victory over the Aggies.
The Lobos will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 0-2 ATS against the number this season, while the Aggies are 2-1 ATS. New Mexico is 0-2 on the totals; New Mexico State is 2-0.
Betting Line: If you're going with the Aggies in this one, they're listed as 8.5-point favorites on the betting line for the contest.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Aggies sit at No. 87 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Lobos are at No. 95 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Aggies will win this game 31-22.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits New Mexico State's No. 49-ranked offense, averaging 33.7 PPG, against a Lobos defense that ranks No. 110 this week at 38.3 PPG. The Aggies aerial game is averaging 264 yards per game, less than the Lobos secondary allows through the air, 301.3 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Lobos feature the league's No. 83-rated road run defense, allowing 235.5 yards per game. New Mexico State, meanwhile, ranks No. 107 in rushing offense at home.
New Mexico was a 49-14 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Texas Tech. They failed to cover the 32.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (63) made winners of UNDER bettors. New Mexico didn’t make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Red Raiders as Texas Tech blasted them 49-14 in Week 3 action.
New Mexico State lost its last outing, a 41-28 result against Texas El Paso on September 15. New Mexico State covered in that game as a 14-point underdog, while the 69 combined points took the game OVER the total. Kemonte' Bateman was good for 115 receiving yards in the Aggies's most recent action, but while it helped his stats, it didn’t help his team to victory and they fell 41-28 to the Aggies.
New Mexico Lobos Trends:
When playing in September are 1-9
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the conference are 1-9
New Mexico State Aggies Trends:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the conference are 4-6
A few Lobos at Aggies trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 7 games when playing New Mexico State
New Mexico is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Mexico State
New Mexico is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Mexico State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 7 games when playing New Mexico
New Mexico State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Mexico
New Mexico State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Mexico
New Mexico State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Mexico
New Mexico home to Boise State, Saturday, September 29
New Mexico State home to UTSA, Saturday, September 29