Troy Trojans vs North Texas Mean Green Odds
Getting a win and covering the posted spread will be the goals for the Trojans on Saturday when they take on the Mean Green at Apogee Stadium in Week 4 action.
Supporters of the Trojans have seen them go 1-2 and 2-1 ATS so far this season, while the Mean Green are at 1-2 and 2-1 ATS. In totals betting, the Mean Green are 2-0, while the Trojans are 1-2.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Mean Green, currently No. 8 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Trojans, who rate No. 85 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 25-23 victory for the Trojans.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits North Texas's No. 92-ranked offense, averaging 23 PPG, against a Trojans defense that ranks No. 93 this week at 32 PPG. The Mean Green aerial game is averaging 165.3 yards per game, less than the Trojans secondary allows through the air, 246.7 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Trojans own the league's No. 39-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 134 yards per game when on the road. North Texas, on the other hand, rates No. 5 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Troy was a 30-24 loser in their most recent outing at home against Mississippi State. They covered the 14.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (54) made winners of UNDER bettors. Corey Robinson led the way last time out for the Trojans, connecting for 343 passing yards, but failing to earn the victory in a 30-24 loss to the Trojans at Veterans Memorial Stadium.
North Texas was a 35-21 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Kansas State. They covered the 27-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (56) made winners of OVER bettors. In their last game, the Mean Green were Week 3 losers coming out on the wrong end of 35-21 score against Kansas State.
Troy Trojans Trends:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on turf are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 3-7
North Texas Mean Green Trends:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 5-5
A few Trojans at Mean Green trends to consider:
Troy is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing North Texas
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Troy's last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Troy's last 12 games
Troy is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
North Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
North Texas is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
North Texas is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games at home
North Texas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Troy
Troy at South Alabama, Saturday, September 29
North Texas at Florida Atlantic, Saturday, September 29