Oklahoma favored by 19.5 against Baylor on Saturday
Baylor Bears vs Oklahoma Sooners Odds
The Oklahoma Sooners look to stay alive in the race for the Big 12 crown when they host the Baylor Bears Saturday afternoon in Norman (3:30 pm ET).
OU, which trails first-place Kansas State by a game and a half in the Big 12, was an early 20-point favorite over the 4-4 Bears, who shocked the Sooners last year on a late RG III touchdown pass.
Betting Line: Bettors going with the Sooners in this game found them listed as 19.5-point favorites on the betting line at Sportsbook.ag earlier in the week.
Power Rankings / Prediction: This game matches up the No. 8 (Sooners) and the No. 91 (Bears) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 57-40 result in favor of the Sooners is predicted by handicapping models.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Oklahoma's No. 15-ranked offense, averaging 39.5 PPG, against a Bears defense that ranks No. 117 this week at 39.1 PPG. The Sooners aerial game is averaging 313.6 yards per game, less than the Bears secondary allows through the air, 326.6 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Bears feature the league's No. 93-rated road run defense, allowing 210 yards per game. Oklahoma, meanwhile, ranks No. 54 in rushing offense at home.
Baylor won its last outing, a 41-14 result against Kansas on November 3. Baylor covered in that game as a 16.5-point favorite, while the 55 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Nick Florence's 367-yard performance through the air was enough last time out, as Baylor earned a 41-14 win over Kansas on Saturday at Floyd Casey Stadium.
Oklahoma was a 35-20 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Iowa State. They covered the 13-point spread as favorites, while the total score (55) made winners of OVER bettors. Landry Jones's 405-yard performance through the air was enough last time out, as Oklahoma earned a 35-20 win over Iowa State on Saturday at Jack Trice Stadium.
Baylor Bears Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 6-4
Oklahoma Sooners Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 7-3
A few Bears at Sooners trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baylor's last 9 games on the road
Baylor is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 6 games
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baylor
Oklahoma is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Baylor
Oklahoma is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
Oklahoma is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Baylor home to Kansas State, Saturday, November 17
Oklahoma at West Virginia, Saturday, November 17