Oregon Betting Odds Preview
The Ducks remained one of the premier programs in college football last year, and got close to playing for all the marbles again, but once again came up a bit short, thanks in part to a second consecutive crushing loss to Stanford.
Oregon has lost a total of just six games over the last four seasons, but just hasn't been able to achieve the ultimate goal of a national championship. The Ducks should be in the running for a spot in the four-team college football playoff this year, but November 1 looms as a big day – the day they host the Cardinal.
Oregon Odds to Win Pac-12: 11/10 at Bovada
Oregon Odds to Win College Football Championship: 7/1 at Bovada
Oregon Regular Season Win Total: 10.5 at Bovada
Oregon Betting Props: Marcus Mariota to Win Heisman 11/2 at Bovada
Oregon started 8-0 last year, and sat poised at No. 2 in the polls, with another BCS title game berth within grasp. But the Ducks got plucked at Stanford, and a couple weeks later fell in shocking fashion at Arizona. Oregon then squeaked by Oregon State in the Civil War, then trounced Texas in the Alamo Bowl, but those wins couldn't mask the disappointment of missing out on something bigger.
The Ducks ended up going 8-5 ATS last year, and over the last four seasons they're 32-19 ATS. But how long can they keep that up when they're favored by three touchdowns – and more - every time out?
This season the Ducks return eight starters on offense, led by Mariota, thousand-yard rusher Byron Marshall and four along the offensive line, but only five starters return on defense. Oregon has played a lot of high-scoring games in recent seasons, and might take that to an extreme this year.
The Ducks get a chance at an early-season resume-enhancer this season when they host defending Rose Bowl champion Michigan State in Week 2, and while they later play at UCLA and at Oregon State, they also host Arizona, Washington and Stanford. From afar, it looks like Oregon will be favored in at least 11 of its first 12 games.
Pac-12 Championship Odds at Bovada as of August 5
Arizona State 12/1
Oregon State 33/1
Washington State 50/1
Oregon is 46-7 over the last four seasons, with three conference titles and four straight BCS bowl appearances.
The Ducks have also won 12 games three years in a row, and few teams in the history of college football can claim that. But Oregon's success finally came at a price; the NFL came calling and lured head coach Chip Kelly away. Will his departure put a damper on the Ducks' success? Or will they just keep rolling along?
Oregon only had 11 starters back last season from its Rose Bowl champion team of 2011, but with plenty of talent set to step in the Ducks were still expected to contend not just for the conference title, but also for another BCS bowl berth. And that's basically the way things played out, although for Oregon, it wasn't the bowl berth they were hoping for. UO cruised to a 10-0 start, putting up some crazy offensive numbers, blowing a lot of teams out in the first halves of games.
The Ducks put up 57 points on Arkansas State, 63 on Tennessee Tech, blanked Arizona 49-0, scored 51 and 52 in beating Washington State and Washington, tagged Colorado for 70, USC for 62, and Cal for 59. But in the game that cost it a shot at the national title, with a banged-up defensive line at home against Stanford, Oregon gave up a late score that tied the game and eventually lost in overtime 17-14. After that, hoping for help from elsewhere that didn't materialize, the Ducks beat Oregon State in the Civil War game, then dispatched Kansas State 35-17 in the Fiesta Bowl to finish at 12-1 overall and No. 2 in the final rankings. They also finished 8-5 ATS, thanks in large part to a +21 turnover ratio, with an FBS-high 40 takeaways. In fact, over the last six seasons Oregon is 48-31 ATS and +59 on turnovers.
This year new head coach Mark Helfrich, who's been the OC here the last four seasons, takes over a team that returns 15 starters. Eight are back on offense, led by QB Marcus Mariota, who compiled a 32/6 TD/INT ratio and ran for 750 yards as a freshman last year, and three on the offensive line, while seven return on defense, including the entire secondary. The Ducks begin this season with a scrimmage against Nicholls State, then get a little taste of the South with a visit to Virginia and a home game with Tennessee.
In conference Oregon hosts Cal, Washington State, UCLA, Utah, and OSU, and takes trips to Colorado, Washington, Stanford, and Arizona, and misses USC and Arizona State, which doesn't hurt. The Ducks should be favored in every game, and probably by big numbers, expect perhaps down on the Farm.
Pac-12 Championship Odds at 5Dimes as of August 11
Oregon State +1050
Arizona State +1100
Washington State +6000